Atlantic Union Bankshares Corp (AUB)
Atlantic Union Bankshares Corporation is the holding company of Atlantic Union Bank providing related banking and financial services to consumers and businesses. The company is headquartered in Richmond, Virginia.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 32.31% per annum.
- AUB price at the close of November 19, 2024 was $41.76 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 1,107.04% per annum.
- AUB price at the close of November 19, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of AUB price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: April 25, 2023
End date: November 19, 2024
a = 2.2713
b = 0.0008
s = 0.0678
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0008) – 1
= 32.31%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0678) – 1
= 31.17%
April 25, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y861)
= Exp(a + b × X861 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,252 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.2713 + 0.0008 × 1,252 + 2 × 0.0678)
= Exp(3.3673)
= $29.00
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y861)
= Exp(a + b × X861 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,252 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.2713 + 0.0008 × 1,252 – 2 × 0.0678)
= Exp(3.0960)
= $22.11
November 19, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.2713 + 0.0008 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0678)
= Exp(3.8075)
= $45.04
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.2713 + 0.0008 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0678)
= Exp(3.5362)
= $34.34
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 32.31% per annum.
- AUB price at the close of November 19, 2024 was $41.76 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: October 21, 2024
End date: November 19, 2024
a = -8.6852
b = 0.0068
s = 0.0331
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0068) – 1
= 1,107.04%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0331) – 1
= 14.16%
October 21, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,236)
= Exp(a + b × X1,236 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,797 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-8.6852 + 0.0068 × 1,797 + 2 × 0.0331)
= Exp(3.6437)
= $38.23
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,236)
= Exp(a + b × X1,236 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,797 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-8.6852 + 0.0068 × 1,797 – 2 × 0.0331)
= Exp(3.5113)
= $33.49
November 19, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-8.6852 + 0.0068 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0331)
= Exp(3.8416)
= $46.60
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-8.6852 + 0.0068 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0331)
= Exp(3.7091)
= $40.82
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 1,107.04% per annum.
- AUB price at the close of November 19, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.