Stock Price Trends

Meta Platforms Inc. (META)

Meta Platforms, Inc. develops products that enable people to connect and share with friends and family through mobile devices, PCs, virtual reality headsets, wearables and home devices around the world. The company is headquartered in Menlo Park, California.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 112.59% per annum.
  • META price at the close of January 17, 2025 was $612.77 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 34.26% per annum.
  • META price at the close of January 17, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of META price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: September 13, 2022
End date: January 17, 2025

a = 2.8658

b = 0.0021

s = 0.1508

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0021) – 1
= 112.59%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1508) – 1
= 82.83%

September 13, 2022 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y667)
= Exp(a + b × X667 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 966 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.8658 + 0.0021 × 966 + 2 × 0.1508)
= Exp(5.1635)
= $174.78

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y667)
= Exp(a + b × X667 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 966 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.8658 + 0.0021 × 966 – 2 × 0.1508)
= Exp(4.5601)
= $95.60

January 17, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,256)
= Exp(a + b × X1,256 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.8658 + 0.0021 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.1508)
= Exp(6.9343)
= $1,026.94

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,256)
= Exp(a + b × X1,256 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.8658 + 0.0021 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.1508)
= Exp(6.3310)
= $561.69

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 112.59% per annum.
  • META price at the close of January 17, 2025 was $612.77 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: February 2, 2024
End date: January 17, 2025

a = 4.9294

b = 0.0008

s = 0.0502

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0008) – 1
= 34.26%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0502) – 1
= 22.26%

February 2, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,016)
= Exp(a + b × X1,016 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,473 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.9294 + 0.0008 × 1,473 + 2 × 0.0502)
= Exp(6.2188)
= $502.08

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,016)
= Exp(a + b × X1,016 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,473 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.9294 + 0.0008 × 1,473 – 2 × 0.0502)
= Exp(6.0178)
= $410.67

January 17, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,256)
= Exp(a + b × X1,256 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.9294 + 0.0008 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0502)
= Exp(6.5012)
= $665.97

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,256)
= Exp(a + b × X1,256 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.9294 + 0.0008 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0502)
= Exp(6.3003)
= $544.72

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 34.26% per annum.
  • META price at the close of January 17, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.