Stock Price Trends

Alphabet Inc Class C (GOOG) 

Alphabet Inc. (GOOG) is a leading American multinational conglomerate based in Mountain View, California, formed through the restructuring of Google in October 2015. As the parent company of Google and various other subsidiaries, Alphabet diversifies its technological interests across search engine services, advertising, cloud computing, consumer electronics, and artificial intelligence. It is recognized as one of the largest technology firms globally by revenue, reinforcing its status as a pivotal player in shaping the digital landscape. With its co-founders maintaining significant roles, Alphabet continues to innovate and expand its portfolio in line with emerging technology trends.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 188.84% per annum.
  • GOOG price at the close of November 17, 2025 was $285.60 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 281.19% per annum.
  • GOOG price at the close of November 17, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of GOOG price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: April 3, 2025
End date: November 17, 2025

a = 0.3267

b = 0.0029

s = 0.0445

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0029) – 1
= 188.84%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0445) – 1
= 19.49%

April 3, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,097)
= Exp(a + b × X1,097 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,597 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.3267 + 0.0029 × 1,597 + 2 × 0.0445)
= Exp(5.0567)
= $157.08

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,097)
= Exp(a + b × X1,097 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,597 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.3267 + 0.0029 × 1,597 – 2 × 0.0445)
= Exp(4.8786)
= $131.45

November 17, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.3267 + 0.0029 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0445)
= Exp(5.7193)
= $304.69

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.3267 + 0.0029 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0445)
= Exp(5.5412)
= $254.99

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 188.84% per annum.
  • GOOG price at the close of November 17, 2025 was $285.60 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: June 20, 2025
End date: November 17, 2025

a = -1.0145

b = 0.0037

s = 0.0329

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0037) – 1
= 281.19%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0329) – 1
= 14.07%

June 20, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,150)
= Exp(a + b × X1,150 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,675 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.0145 + 0.0037 × 1,675 + 2 × 0.0329)
= Exp(5.1921)
= $179.84

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,150)
= Exp(a + b × X1,150 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,675 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.0145 + 0.0037 × 1,675 – 2 × 0.0329)
= Exp(5.0604)
= $157.65

November 17, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.0145 + 0.0037 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0329)
= Exp(5.7420)
= $311.68

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.0145 + 0.0037 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0329)
= Exp(5.6103)
= $273.23

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 281.19% per annum.
  • GOOG price at the close of November 17, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.