TripAdvisor Inc (TRIP)
TripAdvisor, Inc. is an online travel company. The company is headquartered in Needham, Massachusetts.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 33.32% per annum.
- TRIP price at the close of January 24, 2025 was $17.66 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $6.32 (55.77%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 14.47% per annum.
- TRIP price at the close of January 24, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of TRIP price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: January 8, 2021
End date: November 6, 2023
a = 4.1907
b = -0.0011
s = 0.1313
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0011) – 1
= -33.32%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1313) – 1
= 69.07%
January 8, 2021 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y241)
= Exp(a + b × X241 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 347 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1907 + -0.0011 × 347 + 2 × 0.1313)
= Exp(4.0680)
= $58.44
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y241)
= Exp(a + b × X241 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 347 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1907 + -0.0011 × 347 – 2 × 0.1313)
= Exp(3.5429)
= $34.57
November 6, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y952)
= Exp(a + b × X952 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,379 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1907 + -0.0011 × 1,379 + 2 × 0.1313)
= Exp(2.9222)
= $18.58
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y952)
= Exp(a + b × X952 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,379 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1907 + -0.0011 × 1,379 – 2 × 0.1313)
= Exp(2.3970)
= $10.99
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 33.32% per annum.
- TRIP price at the close of January 24, 2025 was $17.66 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $6.32 (55.77%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: November 16, 2021
End date: January 24, 2025
a = 3.5175
b = -0.0004
s = 0.1711
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0004) – 1
= -14.47%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1711) – 1
= 98.30%
November 16, 2021 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y457)
= Exp(a + b × X457 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 659 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5175 + -0.0004 × 659 + 2 × 0.1711)
= Exp(3.5776)
= $35.79
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y457)
= Exp(a + b × X457 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 659 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5175 + -0.0004 × 659 – 2 × 0.1711)
= Exp(2.8930)
= $18.05
January 24, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,256)
= Exp(a + b × X1,256 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5175 + -0.0004 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.1711)
= Exp(3.0786)
= $21.73
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,256)
= Exp(a + b × X1,256 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5175 + -0.0004 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.1711)
= Exp(2.3940)
= $10.96
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 14.47% per annum.
- TRIP price at the close of January 24, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.