Stock Price Trends

ZoomInfo Technologies Inc (ZI)

ZoomInfo Technologies Inc. operates a cloud-based go-to-market intelligence platform for sales and marketing teams globally. The company is headquartered in Vancouver, Washington.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 47.11% per annum.
  • ZI price at the close of November 19, 2024 was $9.90 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 115.89% per annum.
  • ZI price at the close of November 19, 2024 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $0.55 (5.27%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of ZI price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: August 23, 2021
End date: October 31, 2024

a = 5.0584

b = -0.0017

s = 0.1350

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0017) – 1
= -47.11%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1350) – 1
= 71.59%

August 23, 2021 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y307)
= Exp(a + b × X307 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 445 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0584 + -0.0017 × 445 + 2 × 0.1350)
= Exp(4.5517)
= $94.80

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y307)
= Exp(a + b × X307 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 445 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0584 + -0.0017 × 445 – 2 × 0.1350)
= Exp(4.0118)
= $55.25

October 31, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,110)
= Exp(a + b × X1,110 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,610 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0584 + -0.0017 × 1,610 + 2 × 0.1350)
= Exp(2.5186)
= $12.41

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,110)
= Exp(a + b × X1,110 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,610 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.0584 + -0.0017 × 1,610 – 2 × 0.1350)
= Exp(1.9786)
= $7.23

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 47.11% per annum.
  • ZI price at the close of November 19, 2024 was $9.90 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: August 5, 2024
End date: November 8, 2024

a = -1.0045

b = 0.0021

s = 0.0418

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0021) – 1
= 115.89%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0418) – 1
= 18.19%

August 5, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,048)
= Exp(a + b × X1,048 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,523 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.0045 + 0.0021 × 1,523 + 2 × 0.0418)
= Exp(2.2903)
= $9.88

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,048)
= Exp(a + b × X1,048 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,523 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.0045 + 0.0021 × 1,523 – 2 × 0.0418)
= Exp(2.1232)
= $8.36

November 8, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,116)
= Exp(a + b × X1,116 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,618 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.0045 + 0.0021 × 1,618 + 2 × 0.0418)
= Exp(2.4906)
= $12.07

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,116)
= Exp(a + b × X1,116 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,618 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.0045 + 0.0021 × 1,618 – 2 × 0.0418)
= Exp(2.3235)
= $10.21

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 115.89% per annum.
  • ZI price at the close of November 19, 2024 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $0.55 (5.27%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.