Stock Price Trends

Clear Secure Inc (YOU)

Clear Secure, Inc. is focused on operating as a holding company for Alclear Holdings LLC providing a member-centric secure identity platform using biometric data in the United States. The company is headquartered in New York, New York.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 39.00% per annum.
  • YOU price at the close of April 25, 2025 was $25.31 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 36.70% per annum.
  • YOU price at the close of April 25, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of YOU price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: September 6, 2023
End date: April 25, 2025

a = 2.0944

b = 0.0009

s = 0.1578

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0009) – 1
= 39.00%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1578) – 1
= 87.99%

September 6, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y549)
= Exp(a + b × X549 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 798 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.0944 + 0.0009 × 798 + 2 × 0.1578)
= Exp(3.1300)
= $22.87

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y549)
= Exp(a + b × X549 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 798 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.0944 + 0.0009 × 798 – 2 × 0.1578)
= Exp(2.4987)
= $12.17

April 25, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y959)
= Exp(a + b × X959 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,395 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.0944 + 0.0009 × 1,395 + 2 × 0.1578)
= Exp(3.6686)
= $39.20

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y959)
= Exp(a + b × X959 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,395 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.0944 + 0.0009 × 1,395 – 2 × 0.1578)
= Exp(3.0374)
= $20.85

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 39.00% per annum.
  • YOU price at the close of April 25, 2025 was $25.31 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: August 27, 2024
End date: April 25, 2025

a = 4.9016

b = -0.0013

s = 0.0989

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0013) – 1
= -36.70%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0989) – 1
= 48.55%

August 27, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y794)
= Exp(a + b × X794 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,154 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.9016 + -0.0013 × 1,154 + 2 × 0.0989)
= Exp(3.6537)
= $38.62

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y794)
= Exp(a + b × X794 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,154 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.9016 + -0.0013 × 1,154 – 2 × 0.0989)
= Exp(3.2579)
= $26.00

April 25, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y959)
= Exp(a + b × X959 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,395 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.9016 + -0.0013 × 1,395 + 2 × 0.0989)
= Exp(3.3517)
= $28.55

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y959)
= Exp(a + b × X959 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,395 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.9016 + -0.0013 × 1,395 – 2 × 0.0989)
= Exp(2.9560)
= $19.22

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 36.70% per annum.
  • YOU price at the close of April 25, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.