Stock Price Trends

DoubleVerify Holdings Inc (DV)

DoubleVerify Holdings, Inc. provides a software platform for digital media measurement, data, and analysis. The company is headquartered in New York, New York with additional locations at Berlin, Germany; Chicago, Illinois; Merelbeke, Belgium; Helsinki, Finland; London, United Kingdom; Los Angeles and San Francisco, California; Miguel Hidalgo, Mexico; Paris, France; So Paulo, Brazil; Singapore, Singapore; Sydney, Australia; Tel Aviv, Israel; and Tokyo, Japan.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 40.29% per annum.
  • DV price at the close of July 17, 2025 was $15.38 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 118.40% per annum.
  • DV price at the close of July 17, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of DV price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: May 30, 2023
End date: July 17, 2025

a = 4.7843

b = -0.0014

s = 0.1747

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0014) – 1
= -40.29%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1747) – 1
= 101.13%

May 30, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y530)
= Exp(a + b × X530 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 769 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7843 + -0.0014 × 769 + 2 × 0.1747)
= Exp(4.0474)
= $57.25

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y530)
= Exp(a + b × X530 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 769 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7843 + -0.0014 × 769 – 2 × 0.1747)
= Exp(3.3486)
= $28.46

July 17, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,064)
= Exp(a + b × X1,064 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,548 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7843 + -0.0014 × 1,548 + 2 × 0.1747)
= Exp(2.9469)
= $19.05

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,064)
= Exp(a + b × X1,064 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,548 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7843 + -0.0014 × 1,548 – 2 × 0.1747)
= Exp(2.2481)
= $9.47

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 40.29% per annum.
  • DV price at the close of July 17, 2025 was $15.38 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: April 3, 2025
End date: July 17, 2025

a = -0.5668

b = 0.0021

s = 0.0340

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0021) – 1
= 118.40%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0340) – 1
= 14.58%

April 3, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y993)
= Exp(a + b × X993 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,443 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.5668 + 0.0021 × 1,443 + 2 × 0.0340)
= Exp(2.5894)
= $13.32

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y993)
= Exp(a + b × X993 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,443 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.5668 + 0.0021 × 1,443 – 2 × 0.0340)
= Exp(2.4534)
= $11.63

July 17, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,064)
= Exp(a + b × X1,064 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,548 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.5668 + 0.0021 × 1,548 + 2 × 0.0340)
= Exp(2.8141)
= $16.68

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,064)
= Exp(a + b × X1,064 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,548 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.5668 + 0.0021 × 1,548 – 2 × 0.0340)
= Exp(2.6781)
= $14.56

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 118.40% per annum.
  • DV price at the close of July 17, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.