Stock Price Trends

Workday Inc (WDAY)

Workday, Inc. is a leader in enterprise cloud applications for finance and human resources, offering innovative solutions that empower organizations to manage their financial and workforce processes effectively. Headquartered in Pleasanton, California, Workday serves a diverse range of clients across various industries, enabling them to make data-driven decisions and enhance operational efficiency. With a commitment to continuous innovation and customer satisfaction, Workday stands out as a key player in the growing field of cloud-based business applications, making it a compelling investment opportunity for institutional investors.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 45.62% per annum.
  • WDAY price at the close of November 6, 2025 was $224.50 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $214.99 (48.92%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 0.16% per annum.
  • WDAY price at the close of November 6, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of WDAY price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: May 9, 2022
End date: April 17, 2024

a = 4.3683

b = 0.0010

s = 0.0799

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0010) – 1
= 45.62%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0799) – 1
= 37.66%

May 9, 2022 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y376)
= Exp(a + b × X376 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 546 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3683 + 0.0010 × 546 + 2 × 0.0799)
= Exp(5.0903)
= $162.44

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y376)
= Exp(a + b × X376 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 546 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3683 + 0.0010 × 546 – 2 × 0.0799)
= Exp(4.7707)
= $118.00

April 17, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y863)
= Exp(a + b × X863 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3683 + 0.0010 × 1,255 + 2 × 0.0799)
= Exp(5.8204)
= $337.10

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y863)
= Exp(a + b × X863 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3683 + 0.0010 × 1,255 – 2 × 0.0799)
= Exp(5.5007)
= $244.87

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 45.62% per annum.
  • WDAY price at the close of November 6, 2025 was $224.50 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $214.99 (48.92%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: June 14, 2023
End date: November 6, 2025

a = 5.5041

b = 0.0000

s = 0.0889

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0000) – 1
= -0.16%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0889) – 1
= 42.68%

June 14, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y652)
= Exp(a + b × X652 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 947 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.5041 + 0.0000 × 947 + 2 × 0.0889)
= Exp(5.6778)
= $292.29

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y652)
= Exp(a + b × X652 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 947 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.5041 + 0.0000 × 947 – 2 × 0.0889)
= Exp(5.3223)
= $204.86

November 6, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.5041 + 0.0000 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0889)
= Exp(5.6740)
= $291.21

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.5041 + 0.0000 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0889)
= Exp(5.3186)
= $204.10

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 0.16% per annum.
  • WDAY price at the close of November 6, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.