Agilysys Inc (AGYS)
Agilysys, Inc. is a developer and marketer of hardware and software products and services for the hospitality industry in North America, Europe, Asia-Pacific and India. The company is headquartered in Alpharetta, Georgia.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 89.93% per annum.
- AGYS price at the close of March 31, 2025 was $72.54 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 72.13% per annum.
- AGYS price at the close of March 31, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of AGYS price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: November 22, 2024
End date: March 31, 2025
a = 15.6993
b = -0.0063
s = 0.0882
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0063) – 1
= -89.93%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0882) – 1
= 42.28%
November 22, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,170)
= Exp(a + b × X1,170 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,696 + 2 × s)
= Exp(15.6993 + -0.0063 × 1,696 + 2 × 0.0882)
= Exp(5.2081)
= $182.74
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,170)
= Exp(a + b × X1,170 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,696 – 2 × s)
= Exp(15.6993 + -0.0063 × 1,696 – 2 × 0.0882)
= Exp(4.8554)
= $128.44
March 31, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(15.6993 + -0.0063 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0882)
= Exp(4.3967)
= $81.18
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(15.6993 + -0.0063 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0882)
= Exp(4.0441)
= $57.06
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 89.93% per annum.
- AGYS price at the close of March 31, 2025 was $72.54 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: January 24, 2025
End date: March 31, 2025
a = 10.6666
b = -0.0035
s = 0.0276
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0035) – 1
= -72.13%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0276) – 1
= 11.67%
January 24, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,210)
= Exp(a + b × X1,210 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,759 + 2 × s)
= Exp(10.6666 + -0.0035 × 1,759 + 2 × 0.0276)
= Exp(4.5644)
= $96.00
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,210)
= Exp(a + b × X1,210 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,759 – 2 × s)
= Exp(10.6666 + -0.0035 × 1,759 – 2 × 0.0276)
= Exp(4.4540)
= $85.97
March 31, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(10.6666 + -0.0035 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0276)
= Exp(4.3333)
= $76.20
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(10.6666 + -0.0035 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0276)
= Exp(4.2230)
= $68.24
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 72.13% per annum.
- AGYS price at the close of March 31, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.