Stock Price Trends

Salesforce.com Inc (CRM)

Salesforce.com, Inc. is a leading American cloud-based software company headquartered in San Francisco, California, renowned for its comprehensive Customer Relationship Management (CRM) solutions. The company empowers businesses with a full suite of enterprise applications that enhance customer service, marketing automation, analytics, and app development, driving digital transformation across various industries. By leveraging cutting-edge technologies like artificial intelligence and data analytics, Salesforce enables organizations to build lasting customer relationships and achieve scalable growth in an increasingly competitive market. As a pioneer in the cloud computing space, Salesforce continues to expand its ecosystem through strategic acquisitions and innovations, positioning itself as a key player in the future of enterprise software.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 33.98% per annum.
  • CRM price at the close of October 29, 2025 was $251.46 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 17.63% per annum.
  • CRM price at the close of October 29, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of CRM price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: November 8, 2024
End date: October 17, 2025

a = 7.5083

b = -0.0011

s = 0.0566

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0011) – 1
= -33.98%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0566) – 1
= 25.38%

November 8, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,012)
= Exp(a + b × X1,012 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,470 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.5083 + -0.0011 × 1,470 + 2 × 0.0566)
= Exp(5.9493)
= $383.47

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,012)
= Exp(a + b × X1,012 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,470 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.5083 + -0.0011 × 1,470 – 2 × 0.0566)
= Exp(5.7230)
= $305.84

October 17, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,246)
= Exp(a + b × X1,246 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,813 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.5083 + -0.0011 × 1,813 + 2 × 0.0566)
= Exp(5.5591)
= $259.58

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,246)
= Exp(a + b × X1,246 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,813 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.5083 + -0.0011 × 1,813 – 2 × 0.0566)
= Exp(5.3329)
= $207.03

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 33.98% per annum.
  • CRM price at the close of October 29, 2025 was $251.46 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: March 6, 2025
End date: October 29, 2025

a = 6.4646

b = -0.0005

s = 0.0433

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0005) – 1
= -17.63%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0433) – 1
= 18.90%

March 6, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,090)
= Exp(a + b × X1,090 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,588 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4646 + -0.0005 × 1,588 + 2 × 0.0433)
= Exp(5.7072)
= $301.03

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,090)
= Exp(a + b × X1,090 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,588 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4646 + -0.0005 × 1,588 – 2 × 0.0433)
= Exp(5.5341)
= $253.18

October 29, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4646 + -0.0005 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0433)
= Exp(5.5813)
= $265.41

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4646 + -0.0005 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0433)
= Exp(5.4081)
= $223.22

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 17.63% per annum.
  • CRM price at the close of October 29, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.