Stock Price Trends

Liveramp Holdings Inc (RAMP)

LiveRamp Holdings, Inc., a technology company, offers enterprise data connectivity platform solutions in the United States, Europe, and Asia-Pacific. The company is headquartered in San Francisco, California.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 26.69% per annum.
  • RAMP price at the close of March 31, 2025 was $26.14 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $5.44 (17.22%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 37.85% per annum.
  • RAMP price at the close of March 31, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $2.16 (9.03%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of RAMP price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: May 9, 2022
End date: July 31, 2024

a = 2.5441

b = 0.0006

s = 0.1373

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0006) – 1
= 26.69%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1373) – 1
= 73.18%

May 9, 2022 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y530)
= Exp(a + b × X530 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 768 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5441 + 0.0006 × 768 + 2 × 0.1373)
= Exp(3.3165)
= $27.56

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y530)
= Exp(a + b × X530 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 768 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5441 + 0.0006 × 768 – 2 × 0.1373)
= Exp(2.7673)
= $15.92

July 31, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,089)
= Exp(a + b × X1,089 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,582 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5441 + 0.0006 × 1,582 + 2 × 0.1373)
= Exp(3.8441)
= $46.72

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,089)
= Exp(a + b × X1,089 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,582 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5441 + 0.0006 × 1,582 – 2 × 0.1373)
= Exp(3.2949)
= $26.98

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 26.69% per annum.
  • RAMP price at the close of March 31, 2025 was $26.14 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $5.44 (17.22%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: November 9, 2023
End date: November 6, 2024

a = 5.3955

b = -0.0013

s = 0.0798

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0013) – 1
= -37.85%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0798) – 1
= 37.60%

November 9, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y909)
= Exp(a + b × X909 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,317 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.3955 + -0.0013 × 1,317 + 2 × 0.0798)
= Exp(3.8390)
= $46.48

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y909)
= Exp(a + b × X909 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,317 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.3955 + -0.0013 × 1,317 – 2 × 0.0798)
= Exp(3.5198)
= $33.78

November 6, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,158)
= Exp(a + b × X1,158 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,680 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.3955 + -0.0013 × 1,680 + 2 × 0.0798)
= Exp(3.3660)
= $28.96

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,158)
= Exp(a + b × X1,158 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,680 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.3955 + -0.0013 × 1,680 – 2 × 0.0798)
= Exp(3.0468)
= $21.05

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 37.85% per annum.
  • RAMP price at the close of March 31, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $2.16 (9.03%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.