Stock Price Trends

Intel Corporation (INTC)

Intel Corporation is a leading American multinational technology company based in Santa Clara, California, renowned as the world's largest semiconductor chip manufacturer by revenue. The company is best known for its development of the x86 series of microprocessors, which are integral to the operation of the majority of personal computers. With a strong focus on innovation and advancing technologies, Intel is also expanding its portfolio to include data-centric solutions and artificial intelligence, positioning itself as a key player in the evolving landscape of computing and connectivity. Intel's commitment to research and development continues to drive its competitive edge in the global semiconductor market.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 216.79% per annum.
  • INTC price at the close of December 31, 2025 was $36.90 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 3.70% per annum.
  • INTC price at the close of December 31, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of INTC price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: April 4, 2025
End date: December 31, 2025

a = -2.0456

b = 0.0032

s = 0.1154

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0032) – 1
= 216.79%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1154) – 1
= 58.68%

April 4, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,068)
= Exp(a + b × X1,068 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,551 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-2.0456 + 0.0032 × 1,551 + 2 × 0.1154)
= Exp(3.0850)
= $21.87

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,068)
= Exp(a + b × X1,068 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,551 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-2.0456 + 0.0032 × 1,551 – 2 × 0.1154)
= Exp(2.6233)
= $13.78

December 31, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-2.0456 + 0.0032 × 1,822 + 2 × 0.1154)
= Exp(3.9412)
= $51.48

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-2.0456 + 0.0032 × 1,822 – 2 × 0.1154)
= Exp(3.4795)
= $32.44

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 216.79% per annum.
  • INTC price at the close of December 31, 2025 was $36.90 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: October 1, 2025
End date: December 31, 2025

a = 3.4529

b = 0.0001

s = 0.0553

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0001) – 1
= 3.70%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0553) – 1
= 24.77%

October 1, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,191)
= Exp(a + b × X1,191 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,731 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4529 + 0.0001 × 1,731 + 2 × 0.0553)
= Exp(3.7359)
= $41.93

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,191)
= Exp(a + b × X1,191 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,731 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4529 + 0.0001 × 1,731 – 2 × 0.0553)
= Exp(3.5146)
= $33.60

December 31, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4529 + 0.0001 × 1,822 + 2 × 0.0553)
= Exp(3.7450)
= $42.31

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4529 + 0.0001 × 1,822 – 2 × 0.0553)
= Exp(3.5237)
= $33.91

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 3.70% per annum.
  • INTC price at the close of December 31, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.