Stock Price Trends

Lattice Semiconductor Corporation (LSCC)

Lattice Semiconductor Corporation, develops and sells semiconductor products in Asia, Europe and America. The company is headquartered in Hillsboro, Oregon.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 30.02% per annum.
  • LSCC price at the close of November 19, 2024 was $48.58 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 53.49% per annum.
  • LSCC price at the close of November 19, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of LSCC price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: February 7, 2023
End date: November 19, 2024

a = 5.7220

b = -0.0010

s = 0.1225

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0010) – 1
= -30.02%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1225) – 1
= 63.25%

February 7, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y808)
= Exp(a + b × X808 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,175 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.7220 + -0.0010 × 1,175 + 2 × 0.1225)
= Exp(4.8177)
= $123.68

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y808)
= Exp(a + b × X808 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,175 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.7220 + -0.0010 × 1,175 – 2 × 0.1225)
= Exp(4.3276)
= $75.76

November 19, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.7220 + -0.0010 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.1225)
= Exp(4.1810)
= $65.43

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.7220 + -0.0010 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.1225)
= Exp(3.6909)
= $40.08

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 30.02% per annum.
  • LSCC price at the close of November 19, 2024 was $48.58 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: February 22, 2024
End date: November 19, 2024

a = 7.6388

b = -0.0021

s = 0.0975

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0021) – 1
= -53.49%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0975) – 1
= 47.68%

February 22, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,069)
= Exp(a + b × X1,069 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,555 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.6388 + -0.0021 × 1,555 + 2 × 0.0975)
= Exp(4.5724)
= $96.78

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,069)
= Exp(a + b × X1,069 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,555 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.6388 + -0.0021 × 1,555 – 2 × 0.0975)
= Exp(4.1826)
= $65.53

November 19, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.6388 + -0.0021 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0975)
= Exp(4.0041)
= $54.82

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.6388 + -0.0021 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0975)
= Exp(3.6142)
= $37.12

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 53.49% per annum.
  • LSCC price at the close of November 19, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.