Lattice Semiconductor Corporation (LSCC)
Lattice Semiconductor Corporation, develops and sells semiconductor products in Asia, Europe and America. The company is headquartered in Hillsboro, Oregon.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 26.50% per annum.
- LSCC price at the close of March 28, 2025 was $55.30 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 64.71% per annum.
- LSCC price at the close of March 28, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $1.59 (2.80%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of LSCC price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: February 1, 2023
End date: February 11, 2025
a = 5.4188
b = -0.0008
s = 0.1240
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0008) – 1
= -26.50%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1240) – 1
= 64.21%
February 1, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y715)
= Exp(a + b × X715 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,037 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.4188 + -0.0008 × 1,037 + 2 × 0.1240)
= Exp(4.7921)
= $120.56
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y715)
= Exp(a + b × X715 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,037 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.4188 + -0.0008 × 1,037 – 2 × 0.1240)
= Exp(4.2962)
= $73.42
February 11, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,223)
= Exp(a + b × X1,223 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,778 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.4188 + -0.0008 × 1,778 + 2 × 0.1240)
= Exp(4.1671)
= $64.53
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,223)
= Exp(a + b × X1,223 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,778 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.4188 + -0.0008 × 1,778 – 2 × 0.1240)
= Exp(3.6712)
= $39.30
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 26.50% per annum.
- LSCC price at the close of March 28, 2025 was $55.30 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: August 1, 2024
End date: March 27, 2025
a = 1.6684
b = 0.0014
s = 0.0598
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0014) – 1
= 64.71%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0598) – 1
= 27.00%
August 1, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,091)
= Exp(a + b × X1,091 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,584 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.6684 + 0.0014 × 1,584 + 2 × 0.0598)
= Exp(3.9535)
= $52.12
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,091)
= Exp(a + b × X1,091 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,584 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.6684 + 0.0014 × 1,584 – 2 × 0.0598)
= Exp(3.7144)
= $41.03
March 27, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.6684 + 0.0014 × 1,822 + 2 × 0.0598)
= Exp(4.2788)
= $72.16
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.6684 + 0.0014 × 1,822 – 2 × 0.0598)
= Exp(4.0398)
= $56.81
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 64.71% per annum.
- LSCC price at the close of March 28, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $1.59 (2.80%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.