Stock Price Trends

Cirrus Logic Inc (CRUS)

Cirrus Logic, Inc., a factory-less semiconductor company, offers high-precision, low-power mixed signal processing solutions in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Austin, Texas.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 37.23% per annum.
  • CRUS price at the close of March 31, 2025 was $99.66 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 1.53% per annum.
  • CRUS price at the close of March 31, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of CRUS price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: June 25, 2024
End date: March 31, 2025

a = 6.8911

b = -0.0013

s = 0.0644

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0013) – 1
= -37.23%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0644) – 1
= 29.37%

June 25, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,064)
= Exp(a + b × X1,064 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,546 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.8911 + -0.0013 × 1,546 + 2 × 0.0644)
= Exp(5.0477)
= $155.66

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,064)
= Exp(a + b × X1,064 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,546 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.8911 + -0.0013 × 1,546 – 2 × 0.0644)
= Exp(4.7902)
= $120.32

March 31, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.8911 + -0.0013 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0644)
= Exp(4.6918)
= $109.05

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.8911 + -0.0013 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0644)
= Exp(4.4343)
= $84.29

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 37.23% per annum.
  • CRUS price at the close of March 31, 2025 was $99.66 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: November 5, 2024
End date: March 31, 2025

a = 4.7107

b = 0.0000

s = 0.0308

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0000) – 1
= -1.53%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0308) – 1
= 13.11%

November 5, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,157)
= Exp(a + b × X1,157 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,679 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7107 + 0.0000 × 1,679 + 2 × 0.0308)
= Exp(4.7013)
= $110.09

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,157)
= Exp(a + b × X1,157 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,679 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7107 + 0.0000 × 1,679 – 2 × 0.0308)
= Exp(4.5781)
= $97.33

March 31, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7107 + 0.0000 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0308)
= Exp(4.6951)
= $109.41

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7107 + 0.0000 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0308)
= Exp(4.5719)
= $96.73

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 1.53% per annum.
  • CRUS price at the close of March 31, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.