NXP Semiconductors NV (NXPI)
NXP Semiconductors N.V. is a Dutch semiconductor manufacturer with headquarters in Eindhoven, Netherlands.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 31.23% per annum.
- NXPI price at the close of March 28, 2025 was $189.99 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 21.20% per annum.
- NXPI price at the close of March 28, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $1.60 (0.84%).
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of NXPI price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: May 6, 2024
End date: February 11, 2025
a = 7.1493
b = -0.0010
s = 0.0366
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0010) – 1
= -31.23%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0366) – 1
= 15.75%
May 6, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,031)
= Exp(a + b × X1,031 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,497 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.1493 + -0.0010 × 1,497 + 2 × 0.0366)
= Exp(5.6866)
= $294.89
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,031)
= Exp(a + b × X1,031 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,497 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.1493 + -0.0010 × 1,497 – 2 × 0.0366)
= Exp(5.5403)
= $254.77
February 11, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,223)
= Exp(a + b × X1,223 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,778 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.1493 + -0.0010 × 1,778 + 2 × 0.0366)
= Exp(5.3983)
= $221.04
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,223)
= Exp(a + b × X1,223 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,778 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.1493 + -0.0010 × 1,778 – 2 × 0.0366)
= Exp(5.2521)
= $190.96
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 31.23% per annum.
- NXPI price at the close of March 28, 2025 was $189.99 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: August 1, 2024
End date: March 26, 2025
a = 6.5225
b = -0.0007
s = 0.0386
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0007) – 1
= -21.20%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0386) – 1
= 16.69%
August 1, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,091)
= Exp(a + b × X1,091 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,584 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.5225 + -0.0007 × 1,584 + 2 × 0.0386)
= Exp(5.5657)
= $261.32
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,091)
= Exp(a + b × X1,091 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,584 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.5225 + -0.0007 × 1,584 – 2 × 0.0386)
= Exp(5.4114)
= $223.94
March 26, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,253)
= Exp(a + b × X1,253 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,821 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.5225 + -0.0007 × 1,821 + 2 × 0.0386)
= Exp(5.4110)
= $223.87
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,253)
= Exp(a + b × X1,253 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,821 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.5225 + -0.0007 × 1,821 – 2 × 0.0386)
= Exp(5.2567)
= $191.84
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 21.20% per annum.
- NXPI price at the close of March 28, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $1.60 (0.84%).