Stock Price Trends

MaxLinear Inc (MXL)

MaxLinear, Inc. provides high-performance analog, radio frequency (RF) and mixed signal communications-on-chip (SoC) solutions for the connected home, wired and wireless infrastructure, and multi-market and industrial applications to world level. The company is headquartered in Carlsbad, California.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 37.87% per annum.
  • MXL price at the close of March 28, 2025 was $10.99 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 96.95% per annum.
  • MXL price at the close of March 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of MXL price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: August 23, 2021
End date: December 2, 2024

a = 4.8339

b = -0.0013

s = 0.1562

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0013) – 1
= -37.87%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1562) – 1
= 86.79%

August 23, 2021 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y352)
= Exp(a + b × X352 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 510 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.8339 + -0.0013 × 510 + 2 × 0.1562)
= Exp(4.4814)
= $88.36

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y352)
= Exp(a + b × X352 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 510 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.8339 + -0.0013 × 510 – 2 × 0.1562)
= Exp(3.8566)
= $47.30

December 2, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,176)
= Exp(a + b × X1,176 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,707 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.8339 + -0.0013 × 1,707 + 2 × 0.1562)
= Exp(2.9208)
= $18.56

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,176)
= Exp(a + b × X1,176 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,707 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.8339 + -0.0013 × 1,707 – 2 × 0.1562)
= Exp(2.2960)
= $9.93

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 37.87% per annum.
  • MXL price at the close of March 28, 2025 was $10.99 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: January 13, 2025
End date: March 28, 2025

a = 19.8604

b = -0.0096

s = 0.0775

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0096) – 1
= -96.95%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0775) – 1
= 36.36%

January 13, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,203)
= Exp(a + b × X1,203 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,749 + 2 × s)
= Exp(19.8604 + -0.0096 × 1,749 + 2 × 0.0775)
= Exp(3.2880)
= $26.79

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,203)
= Exp(a + b × X1,203 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,749 – 2 × s)
= Exp(19.8604 + -0.0096 × 1,749 – 2 × 0.0775)
= Exp(2.9778)
= $19.65

March 28, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(19.8604 + -0.0096 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0775)
= Exp(2.5802)
= $13.20

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(19.8604 + -0.0096 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0775)
= Exp(2.2701)
= $9.68

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 96.95% per annum.
  • MXL price at the close of March 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.