Stock Price Trends

Amkor Technology Inc (AMKR)

Amkor Technology, Inc. provides outsourced semiconductor packaging and testing services in the United States, Japan, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the rest of Asia Pacific. The company is headquartered in Tempe, Arizona.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 55.11% per annum.
  • AMKR price at the close of March 28, 2025 was $18.30 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 80.75% per annum.
  • AMKR price at the close of March 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of AMKR price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: June 12, 2024
End date: March 28, 2025

a = 7.0067

b = -0.0022

s = 0.0732

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0022) – 1
= -55.11%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0732) – 1
= 34.01%

June 12, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,057)
= Exp(a + b × X1,057 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,534 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.0067 + -0.0022 × 1,534 + 2 × 0.0732)
= Exp(3.7869)
= $44.12

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,057)
= Exp(a + b × X1,057 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,534 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.0067 + -0.0022 × 1,534 – 2 × 0.0732)
= Exp(3.4941)
= $32.92

March 28, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.0067 + -0.0022 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0732)
= Exp(3.1527)
= $23.40

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.0067 + -0.0022 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0732)
= Exp(2.8599)
= $17.46

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 55.11% per annum.
  • AMKR price at the close of March 28, 2025 was $18.30 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: January 3, 2025
End date: March 28, 2025

a = 11.1555

b = -0.0045

s = 0.0312

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0045) – 1
= -80.75%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0312) – 1
= 13.29%

January 3, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,198)
= Exp(a + b × X1,198 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,739 + 2 × s)
= Exp(11.1555 + -0.0045 × 1,739 + 2 × 0.0312)
= Exp(3.3681)
= $29.02

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,198)
= Exp(a + b × X1,198 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,739 – 2 × s)
= Exp(11.1555 + -0.0045 × 1,739 – 2 × 0.0312)
= Exp(3.2433)
= $25.62

March 28, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(11.1555 + -0.0045 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0312)
= Exp(2.9890)
= $19.86

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(11.1555 + -0.0045 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0312)
= Exp(2.8642)
= $17.53

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 80.75% per annum.
  • AMKR price at the close of March 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.