MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings Inc (MTSI)
MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc. designs and manufactures analog semiconductor solutions for use in wired and wireless applications in the radio frequency (RF), microwave, millimeter wave and light wave spectrum in the United States, China, Asia Pacific and internationally. . . The company is headquartered in Lowell, Massachusetts.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 41.82% per annum.
- MTSI price at the close of March 28, 2025 was $98.47 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $14.65 (12.95%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 63.02% per annum.
- MTSI price at the close of March 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of MTSI price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: April 8, 2022
End date: February 21, 2025
a = 3.1547
b = 0.0010
s = 0.0857
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0010) – 1
= 41.82%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0857) – 1
= 40.89%
April 8, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y511)
= Exp(a + b × X511 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 738 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1547 + 0.0010 × 738 + 2 × 0.0857)
= Exp(4.0326)
= $56.41
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y511)
= Exp(a + b × X511 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 738 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1547 + 0.0010 × 738 – 2 × 0.0857)
= Exp(3.6897)
= $40.03
February 21, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,230)
= Exp(a + b × X1,230 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,788 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1547 + 0.0010 × 1,788 + 2 × 0.0857)
= Exp(5.0377)
= $154.12
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,230)
= Exp(a + b × X1,230 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,788 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1547 + 0.0010 × 1,788 – 2 × 0.0857)
= Exp(4.6949)
= $109.39
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 41.82% per annum.
- MTSI price at the close of March 28, 2025 was $98.47 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $14.65 (12.95%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: December 2, 2024
End date: March 28, 2025
a = 9.6417
b = -0.0027
s = 0.0581
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0027) – 1
= -63.02%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0581) – 1
= 26.15%
December 2, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,176)
= Exp(a + b × X1,176 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,707 + 2 × s)
= Exp(9.6417 + -0.0027 × 1,707 + 2 × 0.0581)
= Exp(5.1059)
= $164.99
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,176)
= Exp(a + b × X1,176 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,707 – 2 × s)
= Exp(9.6417 + -0.0027 × 1,707 – 2 × 0.0581)
= Exp(4.8736)
= $130.79
March 28, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(9.6417 + -0.0027 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0581)
= Exp(4.7897)
= $120.27
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(9.6417 + -0.0027 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0581)
= Exp(4.5575)
= $95.34
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 63.02% per annum.
- MTSI price at the close of March 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.