J & J Snack Foods Corp (JJSF)
J & J Snack Foods Corp. The company is headquartered in Pennsauken, New Jersey.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 40.44% per annum.
- JJSF price at the close of July 11, 2025 was $116.61 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 9.52% per annum.
- JJSF price at the close of July 11, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of JJSF price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: August 13, 2024
End date: July 11, 2025
a = 7.3016
b = -0.0014
s = 0.0544
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0014) – 1
= -40.44%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0544) – 1
= 24.32%
August 13, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,027)
= Exp(a + b × X1,027 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,491 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.3016 + -0.0014 × 1,491 + 2 × 0.0544)
= Exp(5.2939)
= $199.13
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,027)
= Exp(a + b × X1,027 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,491 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.3016 + -0.0014 × 1,491 – 2 × 0.0544)
= Exp(5.0763)
= $160.18
July 11, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.3016 + -0.0014 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0544)
= Exp(4.8227)
= $124.30
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.3016 + -0.0014 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0544)
= Exp(4.6050)
= $99.98
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 40.44% per annum.
- JJSF price at the close of July 11, 2025 was $116.61 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: May 6, 2025
End date: July 11, 2025
a = 4.2969
b = 0.0002
s = 0.0178
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0002) – 1
= 9.52%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0178) – 1
= 7.38%
May 6, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,209)
= Exp(a + b × X1,209 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,757 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2969 + 0.0002 × 1,757 + 2 × 0.0178)
= Exp(4.7701)
= $117.93
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,209)
= Exp(a + b × X1,209 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,757 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2969 + 0.0002 × 1,757 – 2 × 0.0178)
= Exp(4.6989)
= $109.83
July 11, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2969 + 0.0002 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0178)
= Exp(4.7865)
= $119.89
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.2969 + 0.0002 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0178)
= Exp(4.7154)
= $111.65
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 9.52% per annum.
- JJSF price at the close of July 11, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.