Stock Price Trends

Enovis Corp (ENOV)

Enovis Corporation is a global medical technology company. The company is headquartered in Wilmington, Delaware.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 14.81% per annum.
  • ENOV price at the close of November 19, 2024 was $45.27 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 42.38% per annum.
  • ENOV price at the close of November 19, 2024 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $0.76 (1.70%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of ENOV price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: February 19, 2021
End date: November 19, 2024

a = 4.5961

b = -0.0004

s = 0.1121

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0004) – 1
= -14.81%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1121) – 1
= 56.57%

February 19, 2021 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y313)
= Exp(a + b × X313 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 457 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.5961 + -0.0004 × 457 + 2 × 0.1121)
= Exp(4.6196)
= $101.45

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y313)
= Exp(a + b × X313 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 457 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.5961 + -0.0004 × 457 – 2 × 0.1121)
= Exp(4.1713)
= $64.80

November 19, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.5961 + -0.0004 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.1121)
= Exp(4.0186)
= $55.62

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.5961 + -0.0004 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.1121)
= Exp(3.5703)
= $35.53

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 14.81% per annum.
  • ENOV price at the close of November 19, 2024 was $45.27 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: January 18, 2024
End date: November 19, 2024

a = 6.4303

b = -0.0015

s = 0.0618

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0015) – 1
= -42.38%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0618) – 1
= 28.07%

January 18, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,045)
= Exp(a + b × X1,045 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,520 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4303 + -0.0015 × 1,520 + 2 × 0.0618)
= Exp(4.2580)
= $70.67

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,045)
= Exp(a + b × X1,045 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,520 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4303 + -0.0015 × 1,520 – 2 × 0.0618)
= Exp(4.0106)
= $55.18

November 19, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4303 + -0.0015 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0618)
= Exp(3.7958)
= $44.51

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4303 + -0.0015 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0618)
= Exp(3.5484)
= $34.76

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 42.38% per annum.
  • ENOV price at the close of November 19, 2024 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $0.76 (1.70%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.