Mativ Holdings Inc. (MATV)
Mativ Holdings, Inc., provides advanced materials and engineering solutions for various industries worldwide. The company is headquartered in Alpharetta, Georgia.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 85.98% per annum.
- MATV price at the close of April 1, 2025 was $6.29 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 499.97% per annum.
- MATV price at the close of April 1, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of MATV price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: August 26, 2024
End date: April 1, 2025
a = 11.6616
b = -0.0054
s = 0.0740
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0054) – 1
= -85.98%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0740) – 1
= 34.46%
August 26, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,106)
= Exp(a + b × X1,106 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,607 + 2 × s)
= Exp(11.6616 + -0.0054 × 1,607 + 2 × 0.0740)
= Exp(3.1582)
= $23.53
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,106)
= Exp(a + b × X1,106 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,607 – 2 × s)
= Exp(11.6616 + -0.0054 × 1,607 – 2 × 0.0740)
= Exp(2.8621)
= $17.50
April 1, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(11.6616 + -0.0054 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0740)
= Exp(1.9846)
= $7.28
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(11.6616 + -0.0054 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0740)
= Exp(1.6885)
= $5.41
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 85.98% per annum.
- MATV price at the close of April 1, 2025 was $6.29 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: March 12, 2025
End date: April 1, 2025
a = -7.0756
b = 0.0049
s = 0.0376
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0049) – 1
= 499.97%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0376) – 1
= 16.24%
March 12, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,241)
= Exp(a + b × X1,241 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,805 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-7.0756 + 0.0049 × 1,805 + 2 × 0.0376)
= Exp(1.8601)
= $6.42
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,241)
= Exp(a + b × X1,241 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,805 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-7.0756 + 0.0049 × 1,805 – 2 × 0.0376)
= Exp(1.7096)
= $5.53
April 1, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-7.0756 + 0.0049 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0376)
= Exp(1.9582)
= $7.09
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-7.0756 + 0.0049 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0376)
= Exp(1.8077)
= $6.10
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 499.97% per annum.
- MATV price at the close of April 1, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.