Stock Price Trends

Alliant Energy Corp (LNT)

Alliant Energy is a public utility holding company headquartered in Madison, Wisconsin providing power in Iowa and Wisconsin.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 48.21% per annum.
  • LNT price at the close of November 20, 2024 was $62.23 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 1,149.42% per annum.
  • LNT price at the close of November 20, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of LNT price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: February 5, 2024
End date: November 20, 2024

a = 2.1528

b = 0.0011

s = 0.0283

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0011) – 1
= 48.21%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0283) – 1
= 11.98%

February 5, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,056)
= Exp(a + b × X1,056 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,537 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1528 + 0.0011 × 1,537 + 2 × 0.0283)
= Exp(3.8662)
= $47.76

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,056)
= Exp(a + b × X1,056 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,537 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1528 + 0.0011 × 1,537 – 2 × 0.0283)
= Exp(3.7530)
= $42.65

November 20, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1528 + 0.0011 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0283)
= Exp(4.1777)
= $65.22

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1528 + 0.0011 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0283)
= Exp(4.0645)
= $58.24

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 48.21% per annum.
  • LNT price at the close of November 20, 2024 was $62.23 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: November 6, 2024
End date: November 20, 2024

a = -8.4944

b = 0.0069

s = 0.0106

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0069) – 1
= 1,149.42%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0106) – 1
= 4.33%

November 6, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,247)
= Exp(a + b × X1,247 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,812 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-8.4944 + 0.0069 × 1,812 + 2 × 0.0106)
= Exp(4.0631)
= $58.16

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,247)
= Exp(a + b × X1,247 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,812 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-8.4944 + 0.0069 × 1,812 – 2 × 0.0106)
= Exp(4.0208)
= $55.74

November 20, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-8.4944 + 0.0069 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0106)
= Exp(4.1600)
= $64.07

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-8.4944 + 0.0069 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0106)
= Exp(4.1176)
= $61.41

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 1,149.42% per annum.
  • LNT price at the close of November 20, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.