VF Corporation (VFC)
VF Corporation is an American worldwide apparel and footwear company founded in 1899 and headquartered in Denver, Colorado. The company's more than 30 brands are organized into three categories: Outdoor, Active and Work.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 46.87% per annum.
- VFC price at the close of September 6, 2024 was $17.68 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $5.26 (42.40%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 193.90% per annum.
- VFC price at the close of September 6, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of VFC price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: April 5, 2021
End date: June 10, 2024
a = 5.4531
b = -0.0017
s = 0.1129
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0017) – 1
= -46.87%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1129) – 1
= 57.11%
April 5, 2021 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y395)
= Exp(a + b × X395 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 574 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.4531 + -0.0017 × 574 + 2 × 0.1129)
= Exp(4.6845)
= $108.26
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y395)
= Exp(a + b × X395 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 574 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.4531 + -0.0017 × 574 – 2 × 0.1129)
= Exp(4.2328)
= $68.91
June 10, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,196)
= Exp(a + b × X1,196 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,736 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.4531 + -0.0017 × 1,736 + 2 × 0.1129)
= Exp(2.6714)
= $14.46
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,196)
= Exp(a + b × X1,196 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,736 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.4531 + -0.0017 × 1,736 – 2 × 0.1129)
= Exp(2.2197)
= $9.20
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 46.87% per annum.
- VFC price at the close of September 6, 2024 was $17.68 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $5.26 (42.40%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: April 12, 2024
End date: September 6, 2024
a = -2.5109
b = 0.0030
s = 0.0576
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0030) – 1
= 193.90%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0576) – 1
= 25.91%
April 12, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,156)
= Exp(a + b × X1,156 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,677 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-2.5109 + 0.0030 × 1,677 + 2 × 0.0576)
= Exp(2.5575)
= $12.90
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,156)
= Exp(a + b × X1,156 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,677 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-2.5109 + 0.0030 × 1,677 – 2 × 0.0576)
= Exp(2.3271)
= $10.25
September 6, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-2.5109 + 0.0030 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0576)
= Exp(2.9917)
= $19.92
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-2.5109 + 0.0030 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0576)
= Exp(2.7613)
= $15.82
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 193.90% per annum.
- VFC price at the close of September 6, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.