Lululemon Athletica Inc. (LULU)
Lululemon Athletica Inc. is a leading athletic apparel retailer headquartered in Vancouver, Canada, renowned for its innovative products that enhance athletic performance and promote a healthy lifestyle. The company specializes in high-quality yoga and fitness apparel, catering to a diverse consumer base that values both functionality and style. With a strong emphasis on community engagement and sustainability, Lululemon continues to expand its market presence through strategic store openings and a robust e-commerce platform, positioning itself for sustained growth in the competitive activewear industry. As it builds on its brand reputation and customer loyalty, Lululemon remains well-positioned to capitalize on the increasing global demand for health and wellness products.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 65.04% per annum.
- LULU price at the close of March 27, 2026 was $145.85 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $14.89 (11.37%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 7.09% per annum.
- LULU price at the close of March 27, 2026 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $3.63 (2.43%).
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of LULU price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: December 2, 2024
End date: November 24, 2025
a = 9.9370
b = -0.0029
s = 0.0933
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0029) – 1
= -65.04%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0933) – 1
= 45.22%
December 2, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y925)
= Exp(a + b × X925 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,343 + 2 × s)
= Exp(9.9370 + -0.0029 × 1,343 + 2 × 0.0933)
= Exp(6.2569)
= $521.58
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y925)
= Exp(a + b × X925 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,343 – 2 × s)
= Exp(9.9370 + -0.0029 × 1,343 – 2 × 0.0933)
= Exp(5.8838)
= $359.16
November 24, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,170)
= Exp(a + b × X1,170 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,700 + 2 × s)
= Exp(9.9370 + -0.0029 × 1,700 + 2 × 0.0933)
= Exp(5.2290)
= $186.61
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,170)
= Exp(a + b × X1,170 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,700 – 2 × s)
= Exp(9.9370 + -0.0029 × 1,700 – 2 × 0.0933)
= Exp(4.8559)
= $128.50
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 65.04% per annum.
- LULU price at the close of March 27, 2026 was $145.85 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $14.89 (11.37%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: July 30, 2025
End date: March 25, 2026
a = 5.5469
b = -0.0002
s = 0.0863
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0002) – 1
= -7.09%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0863) – 1
= 41.20%
July 30, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,088)
= Exp(a + b × X1,088 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,583 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.5469 + -0.0002 × 1,583 + 2 × 0.0863)
= Exp(5.4005)
= $221.53
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,088)
= Exp(a + b × X1,088 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,583 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.5469 + -0.0002 × 1,583 – 2 × 0.0863)
= Exp(5.0555)
= $156.89
March 25, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,252)
= Exp(a + b × X1,252 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,821 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.5469 + -0.0002 × 1,821 + 2 × 0.0863)
= Exp(5.3526)
= $211.16
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,252)
= Exp(a + b × X1,252 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,821 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.5469 + -0.0002 × 1,821 – 2 × 0.0863)
= Exp(5.0076)
= $149.54
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 7.09% per annum.
- LULU price at the close of March 27, 2026 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $3.63 (2.43%).