Lululemon Athletica Inc. (LULU)
Lululemon Athletica Inc. is a leading athletic apparel retailer headquartered in Vancouver, Canada, renowned for its innovative products that enhance athletic performance and promote a healthy lifestyle. The company specializes in high-quality yoga and fitness apparel, catering to a diverse consumer base that values both functionality and style. With a strong emphasis on community engagement and sustainability, Lululemon continues to expand its market presence through strategic store openings and a robust e-commerce platform, positioning itself for sustained growth in the competitive activewear industry. As it builds on its brand reputation and customer loyalty, Lululemon remains well-positioned to capitalize on the increasing global demand for health and wellness products.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 65.90% per annum.
- LULU price at the close of December 15, 2025 was $206.29 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $33.89 (19.66%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 27.55% per annum.
- LULU price at the close of December 15, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $13.41 (6.95%).
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of LULU price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: December 6, 2024
End date: November 24, 2025
a = 10.3516
b = -0.0029
s = 0.0886
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0029) – 1
= -65.90%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0886) – 1
= 42.54%
December 6, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y999)
= Exp(a + b × X999 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,451 + 2 × s)
= Exp(10.3516 + -0.0029 × 1,451 + 2 × 0.0886)
= Exp(6.2521)
= $519.13
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y999)
= Exp(a + b × X999 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,451 – 2 × s)
= Exp(10.3516 + -0.0029 × 1,451 – 2 × 0.0886)
= Exp(5.8977)
= $364.19
November 24, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,240)
= Exp(a + b × X1,240 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,804 + 2 × s)
= Exp(10.3516 + -0.0029 × 1,804 + 2 × 0.0886)
= Exp(5.2117)
= $183.41
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,240)
= Exp(a + b × X1,240 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,804 – 2 × s)
= Exp(10.3516 + -0.0029 × 1,804 – 2 × 0.0886)
= Exp(4.8572)
= $128.67
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 65.90% per annum.
- LULU price at the close of December 15, 2025 was $206.29 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $33.89 (19.66%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: September 5, 2025
End date: December 11, 2025
a = 3.9690
b = 0.0007
s = 0.0383
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0007) – 1
= 27.55%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0383) – 1
= 16.55%
September 5, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,184)
= Exp(a + b × X1,184 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,724 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9690 + 0.0007 × 1,724 + 2 × 0.0383)
= Exp(5.1948)
= $180.33
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,184)
= Exp(a + b × X1,184 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,724 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9690 + 0.0007 × 1,724 – 2 × 0.0383)
= Exp(5.0416)
= $154.72
December 11, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,252)
= Exp(a + b × X1,252 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,821 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9690 + 0.0007 × 1,821 + 2 × 0.0383)
= Exp(5.2594)
= $192.37
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,252)
= Exp(a + b × X1,252 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,821 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.9690 + 0.0007 × 1,821 – 2 × 0.0383)
= Exp(5.1063)
= $165.06
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 27.55% per annum.
- LULU price at the close of December 15, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $13.41 (6.95%).