Lululemon Athletica Inc. (LULU)
Lululemon Athletica Inc. is a leading athletic apparel retailer headquartered in Vancouver, Canada, renowned for its innovative products that enhance athletic performance and promote a healthy lifestyle. The company specializes in high-quality yoga and fitness apparel, catering to a diverse consumer base that values both functionality and style. With a strong emphasis on community engagement and sustainability, Lululemon continues to expand its market presence through strategic store openings and a robust e-commerce platform, positioning itself for sustained growth in the competitive activewear industry. As it builds on its brand reputation and customer loyalty, Lululemon remains well-positioned to capitalize on the increasing global demand for health and wellness products.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 65.04% per annum.
- LULU price at the close of February 13, 2026 was $176.42 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $28.63 (19.37%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 88.99% per annum.
- LULU price at the close of February 13, 2026 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $13.99 (7.35%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of LULU price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: December 2, 2024
End date: November 24, 2025
a = 10.0579
b = -0.0029
s = 0.0933
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0029) – 1
= -65.04%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0933) – 1
= 45.22%
December 2, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y955)
= Exp(a + b × X955 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,385 + 2 × s)
= Exp(10.0579 + -0.0029 × 1,385 + 2 × 0.0933)
= Exp(6.2569)
= $521.58
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y955)
= Exp(a + b × X955 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,385 – 2 × s)
= Exp(10.0579 + -0.0029 × 1,385 – 2 × 0.0933)
= Exp(5.8838)
= $359.16
November 24, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,200)
= Exp(a + b × X1,200 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,742 + 2 × s)
= Exp(10.0579 + -0.0029 × 1,742 + 2 × 0.0933)
= Exp(5.2290)
= $186.61
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,200)
= Exp(a + b × X1,200 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,742 – 2 × s)
= Exp(10.0579 + -0.0029 × 1,742 – 2 × 0.0933)
= Exp(4.8559)
= $128.50
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 65.04% per annum.
- LULU price at the close of February 13, 2026 was $176.42 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $28.63 (19.37%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: September 5, 2025
End date: January 26, 2026
a = 2.1830
b = 0.0017
s = 0.0565
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0017) – 1
= 88.99%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0565) – 1
= 25.36%
September 5, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,144)
= Exp(a + b × X1,144 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,662 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1830 + 0.0017 × 1,662 + 2 × 0.0565)
= Exp(5.1944)
= $180.26
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,144)
= Exp(a + b × X1,144 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,662 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1830 + 0.0017 × 1,662 – 2 × 0.0565)
= Exp(4.9684)
= $143.80
January 26, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,241)
= Exp(a + b × X1,241 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,805 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1830 + 0.0017 × 1,805 + 2 × 0.0565)
= Exp(5.4438)
= $231.31
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,241)
= Exp(a + b × X1,241 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,805 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.1830 + 0.0017 × 1,805 – 2 × 0.0565)
= Exp(5.2178)
= $184.52
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 88.99% per annum.
- LULU price at the close of February 13, 2026 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $13.99 (7.35%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.