Lululemon Athletica Inc. (LULU)
Lululemon Athletica Inc. is a leading athletic apparel retailer headquartered in Vancouver, Canada, renowned for its innovative products that enhance athletic performance and promote a healthy lifestyle. The company specializes in high-quality yoga and fitness apparel, catering to a diverse consumer base that values both functionality and style. With a strong emphasis on community engagement and sustainability, Lululemon continues to expand its market presence through strategic store openings and a robust e-commerce platform, positioning itself for sustained growth in the competitive activewear industry. As it builds on its brand reputation and customer loyalty, Lululemon remains well-positioned to capitalize on the increasing global demand for health and wellness products.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 65.69% per annum.
- LULU price at the close of January 13, 2026 was $211.90 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $52.84 (33.22%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 103.62% per annum.
- LULU price at the close of January 13, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of LULU price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: December 5, 2024
End date: November 24, 2025
a = 10.2386
b = -0.0029
s = 0.0897
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0029) – 1
= -65.69%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0897) – 1
= 43.16%
December 5, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y979)
= Exp(a + b × X979 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,421 + 2 × s)
= Exp(10.2386 + -0.0029 × 1,421 + 2 × 0.0897)
= Exp(6.2533)
= $519.73
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y979)
= Exp(a + b × X979 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,421 – 2 × s)
= Exp(10.2386 + -0.0029 × 1,421 – 2 × 0.0897)
= Exp(5.8945)
= $363.04
November 24, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,221)
= Exp(a + b × X1,221 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,775 + 2 × s)
= Exp(10.2386 + -0.0029 × 1,775 + 2 × 0.0897)
= Exp(5.2158)
= $184.16
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,221)
= Exp(a + b × X1,221 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,775 – 2 × s)
= Exp(10.2386 + -0.0029 × 1,775 – 2 × 0.0897)
= Exp(4.8570)
= $128.64
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 65.69% per annum.
- LULU price at the close of January 13, 2026 was $211.90 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $52.84 (33.22%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: September 5, 2025
End date: January 13, 2026
a = 1.7699
b = 0.0019
s = 0.0559
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0019) – 1
= 103.62%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0559) – 1
= 25.04%
September 5, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,165)
= Exp(a + b × X1,165 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,695 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.7699 + 0.0019 × 1,695 + 2 × 0.0559)
= Exp(5.1839)
= $178.37
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,165)
= Exp(a + b × X1,165 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,695 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.7699 + 0.0019 × 1,695 – 2 × 0.0559)
= Exp(4.9604)
= $142.65
January 13, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.7699 + 0.0019 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0559)
= Exp(5.4371)
= $229.78
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.7699 + 0.0019 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0559)
= Exp(5.2136)
= $183.76
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 103.62% per annum.
- LULU price at the close of January 13, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.