PVH Corp (PVH)
PVH Corp., formerly known as the Phillips-Van Heusen Corporation, is an American clothing company which owns brands such as Van Heusen, Tommy Hilfiger, Calvin Klein, IZOD, Arrow, Warner's, Olga, True & Co., and Geoffrey Beene.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 86.80% per annum.
- PVH price at the close of March 31, 2025 was $64.64 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 55.40% per annum.
- PVH price at the close of March 31, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of PVH price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: December 10, 2024
End date: March 31, 2025
a = 14.2600
b = -0.0055
s = 0.0396
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0055) – 1
= -86.80%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0396) – 1
= 17.17%
December 10, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,181)
= Exp(a + b × X1,181 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,714 + 2 × s)
= Exp(14.2600 + -0.0055 × 1,714 + 2 × 0.0396)
= Exp(4.8300)
= $125.21
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,181)
= Exp(a + b × X1,181 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,714 – 2 × s)
= Exp(14.2600 + -0.0055 × 1,714 – 2 × 0.0396)
= Exp(4.6715)
= $106.86
March 31, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(14.2600 + -0.0055 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0396)
= Exp(4.2142)
= $67.64
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(14.2600 + -0.0055 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0396)
= Exp(4.0557)
= $57.73
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 86.80% per annum.
- PVH price at the close of March 31, 2025 was $64.64 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: March 12, 2025
End date: March 31, 2025
a = 1.9911
b = 0.0012
s = 0.0216
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0012) – 1
= 55.40%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0216) – 1
= 9.01%
March 12, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,242)
= Exp(a + b × X1,242 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,806 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.9911 + 0.0012 × 1,806 + 2 × 0.0216)
= Exp(4.2156)
= $67.73
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,242)
= Exp(a + b × X1,242 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,806 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.9911 + 0.0012 × 1,806 – 2 × 0.0216)
= Exp(4.1293)
= $62.13
March 31, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.9911 + 0.0012 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0216)
= Exp(4.2385)
= $69.31
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.9911 + 0.0012 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0216)
= Exp(4.1523)
= $63.58
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 55.40% per annum.
- PVH price at the close of March 31, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.