Millrose Properties Inc CL A (MRP)
None
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 5,443.16% per annum.
- MRP price at the close of April 2, 2025 was $26.50 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 300.76% per annum.
- MRP price at the close of April 2, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of MRP price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: March 6, 2025
End date: March 31, 2025
a = 2.7393
b = 0.0110
s = 0.0369
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0110) – 1
= 5,443.16%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0369) – 1
= 15.91%
March 6, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y18)
= Exp(a + b × X18 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 27 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.7393 + 0.0110 × 27 + 2 × 0.0369)
= Exp(3.1101)
= $22.42
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y18)
= Exp(a + b × X18 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 27 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.7393 + 0.0110 × 27 – 2 × 0.0369)
= Exp(2.9625)
= $19.35
March 31, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y35)
= Exp(a + b × X35 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 52 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.7393 + 0.0110 × 52 + 2 × 0.0369)
= Exp(3.3851)
= $29.52
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y35)
= Exp(a + b × X35 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 52 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.7393 + 0.0110 × 52 – 2 × 0.0369)
= Exp(3.2375)
= $25.47
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 5,443.16% per annum.
- MRP price at the close of April 2, 2025 was $26.50 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: March 19, 2025
End date: April 2, 2025
a = 3.0774
b = 0.0038
s = 0.0152
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0038) – 1
= 300.76%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0152) – 1
= 6.29%
March 19, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y27)
= Exp(a + b × X27 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 40 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.0774 + 0.0038 × 40 + 2 × 0.0152)
= Exp(3.2600)
= $26.05
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y27)
= Exp(a + b × X27 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 40 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.0774 + 0.0038 × 40 – 2 × 0.0152)
= Exp(3.1991)
= $24.51
April 2, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y37)
= Exp(a + b × X37 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 54 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.0774 + 0.0038 × 54 + 2 × 0.0152)
= Exp(3.3133)
= $27.48
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y37)
= Exp(a + b × X37 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 54 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.0774 + 0.0038 × 54 – 2 × 0.0152)
= Exp(3.2523)
= $25.85
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 300.76% per annum.
- MRP price at the close of April 2, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.