Johnson Controls International PLC (JCI)
Johnson Controls International PLC is a leading global conglomerate based in Cork, Ireland, specializing in building efficiency solutions through advanced fire, heating, ventilation, air conditioning (HVAC), and security technologies. With a strong commitment to sustainability and innovation, the company leverages its extensive expertise to enhance the operational performance of commercial and industrial facilities. Johnson Controls serves a diverse range of industries, positioning itself as a key player in creating safer, smarter, and more sustainable environments through integrated building management systems. As the demand for energy efficiency and smart building solutions continues to grow, Johnson Controls is well-positioned to capture significant market opportunities globally.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 49.36% per annum.
- JCI price at the close of November 28, 2025 was $116.31 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 29.46% per annum.
- JCI price at the close of November 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of JCI price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: September 26, 2023
End date: November 28, 2025
a = 2.7523
b = 0.0011
s = 0.0558
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0011) – 1
= 49.36%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0558) – 1
= 24.99%
September 26, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y708)
= Exp(a + b × X708 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,029 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.7523 + 0.0011 × 1,029 + 2 × 0.0558)
= Exp(3.9949)
= $54.32
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y708)
= Exp(a + b × X708 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,029 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.7523 + 0.0011 × 1,029 – 2 × 0.0558)
= Exp(3.7718)
= $43.46
November 28, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.7523 + 0.0011 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0558)
= Exp(4.8676)
= $130.01
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.7523 + 0.0011 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0558)
= Exp(4.6445)
= $104.01
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 49.36% per annum.
- JCI price at the close of November 28, 2025 was $116.31 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: May 27, 2025
End date: November 28, 2025
a = 3.4559
b = 0.0007
s = 0.0257
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0007) – 1
= 29.46%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0257) – 1
= 10.81%
May 27, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,125)
= Exp(a + b × X1,125 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,638 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4559 + 0.0007 × 1,638 + 2 × 0.0257)
= Exp(4.6660)
= $106.27
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,125)
= Exp(a + b × X1,125 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,638 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4559 + 0.0007 × 1,638 – 2 × 0.0257)
= Exp(4.5634)
= $95.90
November 28, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4559 + 0.0007 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0257)
= Exp(4.7969)
= $121.13
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.4559 + 0.0007 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0257)
= Exp(4.6942)
= $109.32
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 29.46% per annum.
- JCI price at the close of November 28, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.