Owens Corning Inc (OC)
Owens Corning manufactures and markets a range of fiberglass, roofing and insulation composites in the United States, Canada, Europe, Asia Pacific and internationally. The company is headquartered in Toledo, Ohio.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 55.73% per annum.
- OC price at the close of April 3, 2025 was $137.26 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $79.29 (36.62%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 22.82% per annum.
- OC price at the close of April 3, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $16.95 (10.99%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of OC price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: June 13, 2022
End date: August 1, 2024
a = 3.3006
b = 0.0012
s = 0.0675
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0012) – 1
= 55.73%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0675) – 1
= 30.98%
June 13, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y551)
= Exp(a + b × X551 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 798 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3006 + 0.0012 × 798 + 2 × 0.0675)
= Exp(4.4039)
= $81.77
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y551)
= Exp(a + b × X551 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 798 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3006 + 0.0012 × 798 – 2 × 0.0675)
= Exp(4.1340)
= $62.43
August 1, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,087)
= Exp(a + b × X1,087 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,578 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3006 + 0.0012 × 1,578 + 2 × 0.0675)
= Exp(5.3504)
= $210.69
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,087)
= Exp(a + b × X1,087 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,578 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.3006 + 0.0012 × 1,578 – 2 × 0.0675)
= Exp(5.0805)
= $160.86
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 55.73% per annum.
- OC price at the close of April 3, 2025 was $137.26 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $79.29 (36.62%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: June 12, 2023
End date: April 3, 2025
a = 4.1991
b = 0.0006
s = 0.0936
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0006) – 1
= 22.82%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0936) – 1
= 45.42%
June 12, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y801)
= Exp(a + b × X801 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,162 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1991 + 0.0006 × 1,162 + 2 × 0.0936)
= Exp(5.0406)
= $154.57
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y801)
= Exp(a + b × X801 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,162 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1991 + 0.0006 × 1,162 – 2 × 0.0936)
= Exp(4.6662)
= $106.29
April 3, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1991 + 0.0006 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0936)
= Exp(5.4128)
= $224.26
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1991 + 0.0006 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0936)
= Exp(5.0383)
= $154.21
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 22.82% per annum.
- OC price at the close of April 3, 2025 was lower than the bottom border of the secondary price channel by $16.95 (10.99%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.