Stock Price Trends

Ameriprise Financial Inc (AMP)

Ameriprise Financial, Inc. is a diversified financial services company and bank holding company incorporated in Delaware and headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota. It provides financial planning products and services, including wealth management, asset management, insurance, annuities, and estate planning.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 216.54% per annum.
  • AMP price at the close of November 19, 2024 was $562.56 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 283.01% per annum.
  • AMP price at the close of November 19, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of AMP price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: August 2, 2024
End date: November 19, 2024

a = 0.5615

b = 0.0032

s = 0.0242

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0032) – 1
= 216.54%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0242) – 1
= 10.17%

August 2, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,181)
= Exp(a + b × X1,181 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,717 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.5615 + 0.0032 × 1,717 + 2 × 0.0242)
= Exp(6.0304)
= $415.87

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,181)
= Exp(a + b × X1,181 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,717 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.5615 + 0.0032 × 1,717 – 2 × 0.0242)
= Exp(5.9335)
= $377.47

November 19, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.5615 + 0.0032 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0242)
= Exp(6.3745)
= $586.67

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.5615 + 0.0032 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0242)
= Exp(6.2776)
= $532.51

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 216.54% per annum.
  • AMP price at the close of November 19, 2024 was $562.56 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: September 6, 2024
End date: November 19, 2024

a = -0.3780

b = 0.0037

s = 0.0213

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0037) – 1
= 283.01%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0213) – 1
= 8.88%

September 6, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,205)
= Exp(a + b × X1,205 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,752 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.3780 + 0.0037 × 1,752 + 2 × 0.0213)
= Exp(6.1104)
= $450.53

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,205)
= Exp(a + b × X1,205 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,752 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.3780 + 0.0037 × 1,752 – 2 × 0.0213)
= Exp(6.0253)
= $413.78

November 19, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.3780 + 0.0037 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0213)
= Exp(6.3827)
= $591.51

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.3780 + 0.0037 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0213)
= Exp(6.2976)
= $543.26

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 283.01% per annum.
  • AMP price at the close of November 19, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.