KKR & Co LP (KKR)
None
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 76.97% per annum.
- KKR price at the close of July 8, 2025 was $137.94 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $20.86 (13.14%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 38.07% per annum.
- KKR price at the close of July 8, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $3.20 (2.37%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of KKR price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: September 13, 2022
End date: February 19, 2025
a = 2.4149
b = 0.0016
s = 0.1007
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0016) – 1
= 76.97%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1007) – 1
= 49.58%
September 13, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y549)
= Exp(a + b × X549 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 796 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.4149 + 0.0016 × 796 + 2 × 0.1007)
= Exp(3.8611)
= $47.52
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y549)
= Exp(a + b × X549 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 796 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.4149 + 0.0016 × 796 – 2 × 0.1007)
= Exp(3.4585)
= $31.77
February 19, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,159)
= Exp(a + b × X1,159 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,686 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.4149 + 0.0016 × 1,686 + 2 × 0.1007)
= Exp(5.2529)
= $191.12
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,159)
= Exp(a + b × X1,159 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,686 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.4149 + 0.0016 × 1,686 – 2 × 0.1007)
= Exp(4.8503)
= $127.78
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 76.97% per annum.
- KKR price at the close of July 8, 2025 was $137.94 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $20.86 (13.14%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: October 11, 2024
End date: June 24, 2025
a = 7.0958
b = -0.0013
s = 0.1019
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0013) – 1
= -38.07%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1019) – 1
= 50.30%
October 11, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,072)
= Exp(a + b × X1,072 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,555 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.0958 + -0.0013 × 1,555 + 2 × 0.1019)
= Exp(5.2579)
= $192.07
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,072)
= Exp(a + b × X1,072 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,555 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.0958 + -0.0013 × 1,555 – 2 × 0.1019)
= Exp(4.8504)
= $127.79
June 24, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,245)
= Exp(a + b × X1,245 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,811 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.0958 + -0.0013 × 1,811 + 2 × 0.1019)
= Exp(4.9218)
= $137.24
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,245)
= Exp(a + b × X1,245 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,811 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.0958 + -0.0013 × 1,811 – 2 × 0.1019)
= Exp(4.5143)
= $91.31
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 38.07% per annum.
- KKR price at the close of July 8, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $3.20 (2.37%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.