Stock Price Trends

KKR & Co LP (KKR)

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Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 75.80% per annum.
  • KKR price at the close of September 15, 2025 was $144.65 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $29.47 (16.93%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 24.81% per annum.
  • KKR price at the close of September 15, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of KKR price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: September 1, 2022
End date: February 19, 2025

a = 2.5455

b = 0.0015

s = 0.1033

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0015) – 1
= 75.80%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1033) – 1
= 51.15%

September 1, 2022 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y494)
= Exp(a + b × X494 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 715 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5455 + 0.0015 × 715 + 2 × 0.1033)
= Exp(3.8572)
= $47.33

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y494)
= Exp(a + b × X494 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 715 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5455 + 0.0015 × 715 – 2 × 0.1033)
= Exp(3.4441)
= $31.31

February 19, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,111)
= Exp(a + b × X1,111 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,617 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5455 + 0.0015 × 1,617 + 2 × 0.1033)
= Exp(5.2514)
= $190.83

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,111)
= Exp(a + b × X1,111 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,617 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5455 + 0.0015 × 1,617 – 2 × 0.1033)
= Exp(4.8383)
= $126.25

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 75.80% per annum.
  • KKR price at the close of September 15, 2025 was $144.65 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $29.47 (16.93%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: February 6, 2024
End date: September 15, 2025

a = 3.8742

b = 0.0006

s = 0.1273

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0006) – 1
= 24.81%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1273) – 1
= 66.39%

February 6, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y852)
= Exp(a + b × X852 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,238 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8742 + 0.0006 × 1,238 + 2 × 0.1273)
= Exp(4.8806)
= $131.71

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y852)
= Exp(a + b × X852 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,238 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8742 + 0.0006 × 1,238 – 2 × 0.1273)
= Exp(4.3714)
= $79.16

September 15, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8742 + 0.0006 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.1273)
= Exp(5.2370)
= $188.11

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.8742 + 0.0006 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.1273)
= Exp(4.7279)
= $113.05

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 24.81% per annum.
  • KKR price at the close of September 15, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.