Stock Price Trends

KKR & Co LP (KKR)

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Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 66.29% per annum.
  • KKR price at the close of December 26, 2025 was $130.41 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $46.27 (26.19%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 8.44% per annum.
  • KKR price at the close of December 26, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of KKR price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: June 13, 2022
End date: March 3, 2025

a = 2.8830

b = 0.0014

s = 0.1250

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0014) – 1
= 66.29%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1250) – 1
= 64.89%

June 13, 2022 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y367)
= Exp(a + b × X367 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 532 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.8830 + 0.0014 × 532 + 2 × 0.1250)
= Exp(3.8743)
= $48.15

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y367)
= Exp(a + b × X367 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 532 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.8830 + 0.0014 × 532 – 2 × 0.1250)
= Exp(3.3742)
= $29.20

March 3, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,048)
= Exp(a + b × X1,048 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,526 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.8830 + 0.0014 × 1,526 + 2 × 0.1250)
= Exp(5.2593)
= $192.34

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,048)
= Exp(a + b × X1,048 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,526 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.8830 + 0.0014 × 1,526 – 2 × 0.1250)
= Exp(4.7591)
= $116.65

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 66.29% per annum.
  • KKR price at the close of December 26, 2025 was $130.41 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $46.27 (26.19%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: September 13, 2024
End date: December 26, 2025

a = 5.2682

b = -0.0002

s = 0.1102

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0002) – 1
= -8.44%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1102) – 1
= 55.41%

September 13, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y933)
= Exp(a + b × X933 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,355 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.2682 + -0.0002 × 1,355 + 2 × 0.1102)
= Exp(5.1613)
= $174.39

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y933)
= Exp(a + b × X933 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,355 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.2682 + -0.0002 × 1,355 – 2 × 0.1102)
= Exp(4.7204)
= $112.21

December 26, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.2682 + -0.0002 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.1102)
= Exp(5.0480)
= $155.71

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.2682 + -0.0002 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.1102)
= Exp(4.6071)
= $100.19

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 8.44% per annum.
  • KKR price at the close of December 26, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.