Stock Price Trends

KKR & Co LP (KKR)

None

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 76.97% per annum.
  • KKR price at the close of July 8, 2025 was $137.94 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $20.86 (13.14%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 38.07% per annum.
  • KKR price at the close of July 8, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $3.20 (2.37%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of KKR price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: September 13, 2022
End date: February 19, 2025

a = 2.4149

b = 0.0016

s = 0.1007

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0016) – 1
= 76.97%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1007) – 1
= 49.58%

September 13, 2022 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y549)
= Exp(a + b × X549 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 796 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.4149 + 0.0016 × 796 + 2 × 0.1007)
= Exp(3.8611)
= $47.52

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y549)
= Exp(a + b × X549 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 796 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.4149 + 0.0016 × 796 – 2 × 0.1007)
= Exp(3.4585)
= $31.77

February 19, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,159)
= Exp(a + b × X1,159 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,686 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.4149 + 0.0016 × 1,686 + 2 × 0.1007)
= Exp(5.2529)
= $191.12

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,159)
= Exp(a + b × X1,159 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,686 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.4149 + 0.0016 × 1,686 – 2 × 0.1007)
= Exp(4.8503)
= $127.78

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 76.97% per annum.
  • KKR price at the close of July 8, 2025 was $137.94 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $20.86 (13.14%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: October 11, 2024
End date: June 24, 2025

a = 7.0958

b = -0.0013

s = 0.1019

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0013) – 1
= -38.07%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1019) – 1
= 50.30%

October 11, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,072)
= Exp(a + b × X1,072 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,555 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.0958 + -0.0013 × 1,555 + 2 × 0.1019)
= Exp(5.2579)
= $192.07

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,072)
= Exp(a + b × X1,072 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,555 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.0958 + -0.0013 × 1,555 – 2 × 0.1019)
= Exp(4.8504)
= $127.79

June 24, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,245)
= Exp(a + b × X1,245 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,811 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.0958 + -0.0013 × 1,811 + 2 × 0.1019)
= Exp(4.9218)
= $137.24

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,245)
= Exp(a + b × X1,245 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,811 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.0958 + -0.0013 × 1,811 – 2 × 0.1019)
= Exp(4.5143)
= $91.31

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 38.07% per annum.
  • KKR price at the close of July 8, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $3.20 (2.37%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.