Stock Price Trends

Cactus Inc (WHD)

Cactus, Inc. designs, manufactures, sells, and leases a variety of wellheads and pressure control equipment in the United States. The company is headquartered in Houston, Texas.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 49.44% per annum.
  • WHD price at the close of July 2, 2025 was $45.26 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 175.83% per annum.
  • WHD price at the close of July 2, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of WHD price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: September 17, 2024
End date: July 2, 2025

a = 7.0938

b = -0.0019

s = 0.1092

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0019) – 1
= -49.44%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1092) – 1
= 54.77%

September 17, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,057)
= Exp(a + b × X1,057 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,534 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.0938 + -0.0019 × 1,534 + 2 × 0.1092)
= Exp(4.4461)
= $85.29

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,057)
= Exp(a + b × X1,057 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,534 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.0938 + -0.0019 × 1,534 – 2 × 0.1092)
= Exp(4.0093)
= $55.11

July 2, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.0938 + -0.0019 × 1,822 + 2 × 0.1092)
= Exp(3.9080)
= $49.80

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.0938 + -0.0019 × 1,822 – 2 × 0.1092)
= Exp(3.4712)
= $32.18

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 49.44% per annum.
  • WHD price at the close of July 2, 2025 was $45.26 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: April 4, 2025
End date: July 2, 2025

a = -1.2165

b = 0.0028

s = 0.0384

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0028) – 1
= 175.83%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0384) – 1
= 16.59%

April 4, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,194)
= Exp(a + b × X1,194 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,733 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.2165 + 0.0028 × 1,733 + 2 × 0.0384)
= Exp(3.6775)
= $39.55

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,194)
= Exp(a + b × X1,194 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,733 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.2165 + 0.0028 × 1,733 – 2 × 0.0384)
= Exp(3.5241)
= $33.92

July 2, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.2165 + 0.0028 × 1,822 + 2 × 0.0384)
= Exp(3.9249)
= $50.65

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,822 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.2165 + 0.0028 × 1,822 – 2 × 0.0384)
= Exp(3.7714)
= $43.44

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 175.83% per annum.
  • WHD price at the close of July 2, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.