Stock Price Trends

Baker Hughes Co (BKR)

Baker Hughes Company is an American international industrial service company and one of the world's largest oil field services companies. The company provides the oil and gas industry with products and services for oil drilling, formation evaluation, completion, production and reservoir consulting. Baker Hughes is headquartered in Houston.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 54.01% per annum.
  • BKR price at the close of April 1, 2025 was $44.80 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 25.75% per annum.
  • BKR price at the close of April 1, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of BKR price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: January 24, 2024
End date: March 3, 2025

a = 1.6903

b = 0.0012

s = 0.0493

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0012) – 1
= 54.01%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0493) – 1
= 21.81%

January 24, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y958)
= Exp(a + b × X958 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,392 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.6903 + 0.0012 × 1,392 + 2 × 0.0493)
= Exp(3.4360)
= $31.06

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y958)
= Exp(a + b × X958 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,392 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.6903 + 0.0012 × 1,392 – 2 × 0.0493)
= Exp(3.2387)
= $25.50

March 3, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,234)
= Exp(a + b × X1,234 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,796 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.6903 + 0.0012 × 1,796 + 2 × 0.0493)
= Exp(3.9140)
= $50.10

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,234)
= Exp(a + b × X1,234 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,796 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.6903 + 0.0012 × 1,796 – 2 × 0.0493)
= Exp(3.7167)
= $41.13

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 54.01% per annum.
  • BKR price at the close of April 1, 2025 was $44.80 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: January 13, 2025
End date: April 1, 2025

a = 5.2570

b = -0.0008

s = 0.0341

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0008) – 1
= -25.75%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0341) – 1
= 14.63%

January 13, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,201)
= Exp(a + b × X1,201 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,747 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.2570 + -0.0008 × 1,747 + 2 × 0.0341)
= Exp(3.9001)
= $49.41

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,201)
= Exp(a + b × X1,201 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,747 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.2570 + -0.0008 × 1,747 – 2 × 0.0341)
= Exp(3.7635)
= $43.10

April 1, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.2570 + -0.0008 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0341)
= Exp(3.8365)
= $46.36

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.2570 + -0.0008 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0341)
= Exp(3.6999)
= $40.44

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 25.75% per annum.
  • BKR price at the close of April 1, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.