Stock Price Trends

Sensata Technologies Holding NV (ST)

Sensata Technologies Holding NV is a leading global provider of sensors and sensor-based solutions, serving a diverse range of industries including automotive, industrial, and aerospace sectors. Headquartered in Attleboro, Massachusetts, the company designs and manufactures innovative products that enhance safety, efficiency, and performance. With a robust presence across America, Europe, and Asia, Sensata is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for advanced sensing technologies in an increasingly connected world.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 218.75% per annum.
  • ST price at the close of December 10, 2025 was $36.14 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $3.43 (8.68%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 3.05% per annum.
  • ST price at the close of December 10, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $2.95 (8.87%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of ST price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: March 27, 2025
End date: September 11, 2025

a = -1.9449

b = 0.0032

s = 0.0865

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0032) – 1
= 218.75%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0865) – 1
= 41.35%

March 27, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,076)
= Exp(a + b × X1,076 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,567 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.9449 + 0.0032 × 1,567 + 2 × 0.0865)
= Exp(3.2049)
= $24.65

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,076)
= Exp(a + b × X1,076 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,567 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.9449 + 0.0032 × 1,567 – 2 × 0.0865)
= Exp(2.8588)
= $17.44

September 11, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,191)
= Exp(a + b × X1,191 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,735 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.9449 + 0.0032 × 1,735 + 2 × 0.0865)
= Exp(3.7384)
= $42.03

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,191)
= Exp(a + b × X1,191 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,735 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.9449 + 0.0032 × 1,735 – 2 × 0.0865)
= Exp(3.3923)
= $29.74

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 218.75% per annum.
  • ST price at the close of December 10, 2025 was $36.14 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $3.43 (8.68%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: June 26, 2025
End date: December 2, 2025

a = 3.5882

b = -0.0001

s = 0.0346

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0001) – 1
= -3.05%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0346) – 1
= 14.84%

June 26, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,138)
= Exp(a + b × X1,138 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,658 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5882 + -0.0001 × 1,658 + 2 × 0.0346)
= Exp(3.5166)
= $33.67

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,138)
= Exp(a + b × X1,138 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,658 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5882 + -0.0001 × 1,658 – 2 × 0.0346)
= Exp(3.3782)
= $29.32

December 2, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,248)
= Exp(a + b × X1,248 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,817 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5882 + -0.0001 × 1,817 + 2 × 0.0346)
= Exp(3.5031)
= $33.22

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,248)
= Exp(a + b × X1,248 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,817 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5882 + -0.0001 × 1,817 – 2 × 0.0346)
= Exp(3.3647)
= $28.93

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 3.05% per annum.
  • ST price at the close of December 10, 2025 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $2.95 (8.87%). This indicates a possible reversal in the secondary trend direction.