FactSet Research Systems Inc (FDS)
FactSet Research Systems Inc. provides integrated financial information and analytical applications to investment and corporate communities in the Americas, EMEA, and Asia Pacific. The company is headquartered in Norwalk, Connecticut.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 245.67% per annum.
- FDS price at the close of November 19, 2024 was $481.40 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $18,023.97 (97.40%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 2.89% per annum.
- FDS price at the close of November 19, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of FDS price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: September 29, 2021
End date: November 19, 2021
a = 3.6382
b = 0.0034
s = 0.0087
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0034) – 1
= 245.67%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0087) – 1
= 3.53%
September 29, 2021 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y467)
= Exp(a + b × X467 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 679 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6382 + 0.0034 × 679 + 2 × 0.0087)
= Exp(5.9629)
= $388.72
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y467)
= Exp(a + b × X467 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 679 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6382 + 0.0034 × 679 – 2 × 0.0087)
= Exp(5.9281)
= $375.46
November 19, 2021 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y504)
= Exp(a + b × X504 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 730 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6382 + 0.0034 × 730 + 2 × 0.0087)
= Exp(6.1362)
= $462.28
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y504)
= Exp(a + b × X504 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 730 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6382 + 0.0034 × 730 – 2 × 0.0087)
= Exp(6.1015)
= $446.51
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 245.67% per annum.
- FDS price at the close of November 19, 2024 was $481.40 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $18,023.97 (97.40%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: September 29, 2021
End date: November 19, 2024
a = 5.9474
b = 0.0001
s = 0.0618
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0001) – 1
= 2.89%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0618) – 1
= 28.06%
September 29, 2021 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y467)
= Exp(a + b × X467 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 679 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.9474 + 0.0001 × 679 + 2 × 0.0618)
= Exp(6.1240)
= $456.70
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y467)
= Exp(a + b × X467 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 679 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.9474 + 0.0001 × 679 – 2 × 0.0618)
= Exp(5.8767)
= $356.64
November 19, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(5.9474 + 0.0001 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0618)
= Exp(6.2135)
= $499.47
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(5.9474 + 0.0001 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0618)
= Exp(5.9662)
= $390.04
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 2.89% per annum.
- FDS price at the close of November 19, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.