Visteon Corp (VC)
Visteon Corporation designs, manufactures and manufactures connected car solutions and automotive electronics for vehicle manufacturers around the world. The company is headquartered in Van Buren, Michigan.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 26.73% per annum.
- VC price at the close of November 20, 2024 was $87.48 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 38.12% per annum.
- VC price at the close of November 20, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of VC price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: January 30, 2023
End date: November 20, 2024
a = 6.0814
b = -0.0009
s = 0.0487
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0009) – 1
= -26.73%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0487) – 1
= 21.52%
January 30, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y801)
= Exp(a + b × X801 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,166 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.0814 + -0.0009 × 1,166 + 2 × 0.0487)
= Exp(5.1854)
= $178.65
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y801)
= Exp(a + b × X801 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,166 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.0814 + -0.0009 × 1,166 – 2 × 0.0487)
= Exp(4.9905)
= $147.01
November 20, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.0814 + -0.0009 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0487)
= Exp(4.6231)
= $101.81
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.0814 + -0.0009 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0487)
= Exp(4.4282)
= $83.78
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 26.73% per annum.
- VC price at the close of November 20, 2024 was $87.48 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: May 2, 2024
End date: November 20, 2024
a = 6.8852
b = -0.0013
s = 0.0366
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0013) – 1
= -38.12%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0366) – 1
= 15.75%
May 2, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,117)
= Exp(a + b × X1,117 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,624 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.8852 + -0.0013 × 1,624 + 2 × 0.0366)
= Exp(4.8231)
= $124.35
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,117)
= Exp(a + b × X1,117 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,624 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.8852 + -0.0013 × 1,624 – 2 × 0.0366)
= Exp(4.6768)
= $107.43
November 20, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.8852 + -0.0013 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0366)
= Exp(4.5575)
= $95.34
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.8852 + -0.0013 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0366)
= Exp(4.4112)
= $82.37
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 38.12% per annum.
- VC price at the close of November 20, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.