Stanley Black & Decker Inc (SWK)
Stanley Black & Decker, Inc. is a leading global manufacturer of industrial tools, household hardware, and security products, recognized for its strong brand portfolio and innovative engineering capabilities. Headquartered in New Britain, Connecticut, the company emerged from the merger of Stanley Works and Black & Decker in 2010, positioning itself as a key player in the home improvement and industrial sectors. With a commitment to sustainability and technological advancement, Stanley Black & Decker continues to drive growth through strategic acquisitions and a focus on enhancing productivity solutions for both consumers and professionals.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 8.05% per annum.
- SWK price at the close of January 13, 2026 was $82.90 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 8.81% per annum.
- SWK price at the close of January 13, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of SWK price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: July 28, 2022
End date: March 11, 2025
a = 4.1687
b = 0.0002
s = 0.0826
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0002) – 1
= 8.05%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0826) – 1
= 39.17%
July 28, 2022 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y386)
= Exp(a + b × X386 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 560 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1687 + 0.0002 × 560 + 2 × 0.0826)
= Exp(4.4527)
= $85.86
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y386)
= Exp(a + b × X386 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 560 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1687 + 0.0002 × 560 – 2 × 0.0826)
= Exp(4.1221)
= $61.69
March 11, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,042)
= Exp(a + b × X1,042 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,517 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1687 + 0.0002 × 1,517 + 2 × 0.0826)
= Exp(4.6556)
= $105.17
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,042)
= Exp(a + b × X1,042 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,517 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.1687 + 0.0002 × 1,517 – 2 × 0.0826)
= Exp(4.3250)
= $75.57
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 8.05% per annum.
- SWK price at the close of January 13, 2026 was $82.90 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: June 13, 2023
End date: January 5, 2026
a = 4.7094
b = -0.0003
s = 0.1068
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0003) – 1
= -8.81%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1068) – 1
= 53.30%
June 13, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y606)
= Exp(a + b × X606 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 880 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7094 + -0.0003 × 880 + 2 × 0.1068)
= Exp(4.7008)
= $110.03
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y606)
= Exp(a + b × X606 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 880 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7094 + -0.0003 × 880 – 2 × 0.1068)
= Exp(4.2735)
= $71.78
January 5, 2026 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,248)
= Exp(a + b × X1,248 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,817 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7094 + -0.0003 × 1,817 + 2 × 0.1068)
= Exp(4.4641)
= $86.84
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,248)
= Exp(a + b × X1,248 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,817 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7094 + -0.0003 × 1,817 – 2 × 0.1068)
= Exp(4.0369)
= $56.65
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 8.81% per annum.
- SWK price at the close of January 13, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.