Stock Price Trends

Payoneer Global Inc (PAYO)

Payoneer Inc. operates a cross-border commerce and payment platform that makes it easy for digital businesses, online sellers and freelancers around the world to receive and manage their international payments. The company is headquartered in New York, New York with additional offices in the United States and internationally.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 178.85% per annum.
  • PAYO price at the close of November 20, 2024 was $10.85 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $0.15 (1.36%).
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 460.13% per annum.
  • PAYO price at the close of November 20, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of PAYO price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: February 28, 2024
End date: November 20, 2024

a = -1.2980

b = 0.0028

s = 0.0868

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0028) – 1
= 178.85%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0868) – 1
= 41.48%

February 28, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y672)
= Exp(a + b × X672 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 978 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.2980 + 0.0028 × 978 + 2 × 0.0868)
= Exp(1.6233)
= $5.07

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y672)
= Exp(a + b × X672 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 978 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.2980 + 0.0028 × 978 – 2 × 0.0868)
= Exp(1.2763)
= $3.58

November 20, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y857)
= Exp(a + b × X857 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,244 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.2980 + 0.0028 × 1,244 + 2 × 0.0868)
= Exp(2.3707)
= $10.70

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y857)
= Exp(a + b × X857 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,244 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.2980 + 0.0028 × 1,244 – 2 × 0.0868)
= Exp(2.0237)
= $7.57

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 178.85% per annum.
  • PAYO price at the close of November 20, 2024 was $10.85 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $0.15 (1.36%).

Secondary Trend

Start date: July 1, 2024
End date: November 20, 2024

a = -3.5614

b = 0.0047

s = 0.0631

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0047) – 1
= 460.13%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0631) – 1
= 28.69%

July 1, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y757)
= Exp(a + b × X757 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,102 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-3.5614 + 0.0047 × 1,102 + 2 × 0.0631)
= Exp(1.7668)
= $5.85

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y757)
= Exp(a + b × X757 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,102 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-3.5614 + 0.0047 × 1,102 – 2 × 0.0631)
= Exp(1.5145)
= $4.55

November 20, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y857)
= Exp(a + b × X857 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,244 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-3.5614 + 0.0047 × 1,244 + 2 × 0.0631)
= Exp(2.4371)
= $11.44

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y857)
= Exp(a + b × X857 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,244 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-3.5614 + 0.0047 × 1,244 – 2 × 0.0631)
= Exp(2.1848)
= $8.89

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 460.13% per annum.
  • PAYO price at the close of November 20, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.