Stock Price Trends

The Cooper Companies, Inc. Common Stock (COO)

The Cooper Companies, Inc., branded as CooperCompanies, is a global medical device company headquartered in San Ramon, California.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 13.28% per annum.
  • COO price at the close of November 20, 2024 was $99.08 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 40.66% per annum.
  • COO price at the close of November 20, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of COO price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: June 13, 2022
End date: November 20, 2024

a = 4.0092

b = 0.0003

s = 0.0793

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0003) – 1
= 13.28%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0793) – 1
= 37.35%

June 13, 2022 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y643)
= Exp(a + b × X643 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 935 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0092 + 0.0003 × 935 + 2 × 0.0793)
= Exp(4.4872)
= $88.88

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y643)
= Exp(a + b × X643 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 935 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0092 + 0.0003 × 935 – 2 × 0.0793)
= Exp(4.1699)
= $64.71

November 20, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0092 + 0.0003 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0793)
= Exp(4.7916)
= $120.49

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.0092 + 0.0003 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0793)
= Exp(4.4742)
= $87.72

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 13.28% per annum.
  • COO price at the close of November 20, 2024 was $99.08 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: September 13, 2024
End date: November 20, 2024

a = 7.2281

b = -0.0014

s = 0.0132

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0014) – 1
= -40.66%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0132) – 1
= 5.43%

September 13, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,209)
= Exp(a + b × X1,209 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,758 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.2281 + -0.0014 × 1,758 + 2 × 0.0132)
= Exp(4.7408)
= $114.53

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,209)
= Exp(a + b × X1,209 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,758 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.2281 + -0.0014 × 1,758 – 2 × 0.0132)
= Exp(4.6879)
= $108.63

November 20, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.2281 + -0.0014 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0132)
= Exp(4.6436)
= $103.91

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.2281 + -0.0014 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0132)
= Exp(4.5907)
= $98.56

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 40.66% per annum.
  • COO price at the close of November 20, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.