Bloomin Brands Inc (BLMN)
Bloomin 'Brands, Inc. owns and operates casual, upscale casual and fine dining restaurants in the United States and internationally. The company is headquartered in Tampa, Florida.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 61.65% per annum.
- BLMN price at the close of March 31, 2025 was $7.17 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $0.75 (9.47%).
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 96.71% per annum.
- BLMN price at the close of March 31, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of BLMN price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: January 29, 2024
End date: March 27, 2025
a = 7.0321
b = -0.0026
s = 0.0854
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0026) – 1
= -61.65%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0854) – 1
= 40.75%
January 29, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y962)
= Exp(a + b × X962 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,398 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.0321 + -0.0026 × 1,398 + 2 × 0.0854)
= Exp(3.5324)
= $34.21
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y962)
= Exp(a + b × X962 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,398 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.0321 + -0.0026 × 1,398 – 2 × 0.0854)
= Exp(3.1906)
= $24.30
March 27, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,253)
= Exp(a + b × X1,253 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,821 + 2 × s)
= Exp(7.0321 + -0.0026 × 1,821 + 2 × 0.0854)
= Exp(2.4217)
= $11.27
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,253)
= Exp(a + b × X1,253 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,821 – 2 × s)
= Exp(7.0321 + -0.0026 × 1,821 – 2 × 0.0854)
= Exp(2.0799)
= $8.00
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 61.65% per annum.
- BLMN price at the close of March 31, 2025 was $7.17 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $0.75 (9.47%).
Secondary Trend
Start date: January 27, 2025
End date: March 31, 2025
a = 19.0565
b = -0.0094
s = 0.0672
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0094) – 1
= -96.71%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0672) – 1
= 30.83%
January 27, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,211)
= Exp(a + b × X1,211 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,762 + 2 × s)
= Exp(19.0565 + -0.0094 × 1,762 + 2 × 0.0672)
= Exp(2.7141)
= $15.09
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,211)
= Exp(a + b × X1,211 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,762 – 2 × s)
= Exp(19.0565 + -0.0094 × 1,762 – 2 × 0.0672)
= Exp(2.4454)
= $11.54
March 31, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(19.0565 + -0.0094 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0672)
= Exp(2.1250)
= $8.37
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(19.0565 + -0.0094 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0672)
= Exp(1.8563)
= $6.40
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 96.71% per annum.
- BLMN price at the close of March 31, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.