Stock Price Trends

Wolverine World Wide Inc (WWW)

Wolverine World Wide, Inc. designs, manufactures, supplies, markets, licenses, and distributes footwear, apparel, and accessories in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia Pacific, Canada, and Latin America. The company is headquartered in Rockford, Michigan.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 106.96% per annum.
  • WWW price at the close of November 19, 2024 was $22.35 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $2.67 (13.58%).
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 151.79% per annum.
  • WWW price at the close of November 19, 2024 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $0.54 (2.50%).

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of WWW price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: September 8, 2023
End date: November 6, 2024

a = -0.8172

b = 0.0020

s = 0.0790

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0020) – 1
= 106.96%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0790) – 1
= 37.14%

September 8, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y955)
= Exp(a + b × X955 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,388 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.8172 + 0.0020 × 1,388 + 2 × 0.0790)
= Exp(2.1066)
= $8.22

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y955)
= Exp(a + b × X955 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,388 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.8172 + 0.0020 × 1,388 – 2 × 0.0790)
= Exp(1.7908)
= $5.99

November 6, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,248)
= Exp(a + b × X1,248 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,813 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.8172 + 0.0020 × 1,813 + 2 × 0.0790)
= Exp(2.9536)
= $19.17

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,248)
= Exp(a + b × X1,248 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,813 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.8172 + 0.0020 × 1,813 – 2 × 0.0790)
= Exp(2.6377)
= $13.98

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 106.96% per annum.
  • WWW price at the close of November 19, 2024 was $22.35 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $2.67 (13.58%).

Secondary Trend

Start date: January 2, 2024
End date: November 19, 2024

a = -1.7132

b = 0.0025

s = 0.0879

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0025) – 1
= 151.79%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0879) – 1
= 42.11%

January 2, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,034)
= Exp(a + b × X1,034 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,504 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.7132 + 0.0025 × 1,504 + 2 × 0.0879)
= Exp(2.2675)
= $9.66

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,034)
= Exp(a + b × X1,034 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,504 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.7132 + 0.0025 × 1,504 – 2 × 0.0879)
= Exp(1.9161)
= $6.79

November 19, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.7132 + 0.0025 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0879)
= Exp(3.0822)
= $21.81

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.7132 + 0.0025 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0879)
= Exp(2.7307)
= $15.34

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 151.79% per annum.
  • WWW price at the close of November 19, 2024 was higher than the top border of the secondary price channel by $0.54 (2.50%).