Deckers Outdoor Corporation (DECK)
Deckers Outdoor Corporation designs, markets and distributes footwear, apparel and accessories for casual lifestyle and high performance activities. The company is headquartered in Goleta, California.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 75.00% per annum.
- DECK price at the close of July 11, 2025 was $101.73 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 30.03% per annum.
- DECK price at the close of July 11, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of DECK price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: November 22, 2024
End date: July 11, 2025
a = 11.4301
b = -0.0038
s = 0.1209
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0038) – 1
= -75.00%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1209) – 1
= 62.19%
November 22, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,099)
= Exp(a + b × X1,099 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,592 + 2 × s)
= Exp(11.4301 + -0.0038 × 1,592 + 2 × 0.1209)
= Exp(5.6256)
= $277.43
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,099)
= Exp(a + b × X1,099 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,592 – 2 × s)
= Exp(11.4301 + -0.0038 × 1,592 – 2 × 0.1209)
= Exp(5.1420)
= $171.05
July 11, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(11.4301 + -0.0038 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.1209)
= Exp(4.7482)
= $115.38
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(11.4301 + -0.0038 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.1209)
= Exp(4.2646)
= $71.14
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 75.00% per annum.
- DECK price at the close of July 11, 2025 was $101.73 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: March 7, 2025
End date: July 11, 2025
a = 6.4349
b = -0.0010
s = 0.0655
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0010) – 1
= -30.03%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0655) – 1
= 29.93%
March 7, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,168)
= Exp(a + b × X1,168 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,697 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4349 + -0.0010 × 1,697 + 2 × 0.0655)
= Exp(4.9058)
= $135.07
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,168)
= Exp(a + b × X1,168 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,697 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4349 + -0.0010 × 1,697 – 2 × 0.0655)
= Exp(4.6440)
= $103.96
July 11, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4349 + -0.0010 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0655)
= Exp(4.7825)
= $119.41
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(6.4349 + -0.0010 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0655)
= Exp(4.5207)
= $91.90
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 30.03% per annum.
- DECK price at the close of July 11, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.