Stock Price Trends

Veris Residential Inc (VRE)

None

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 19.50% per annum.
  • VRE price at the close of November 6, 2025 was $14.74 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $0.20 (1.34%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 10.91% per annum.
  • VRE price at the close of November 6, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of VRE price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: August 27, 2024
End date: August 21, 2025

a = 3.6967

b = -0.0006

s = 0.0320

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0006) – 1
= -19.50%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0320) – 1
= 13.66%

August 27, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y954)
= Exp(a + b × X954 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,387 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6967 + -0.0006 × 1,387 + 2 × 0.0320)
= Exp(2.9364)
= $18.85

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y954)
= Exp(a + b × X954 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,387 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6967 + -0.0006 × 1,387 – 2 × 0.0320)
= Exp(2.8084)
= $16.58

August 21, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,200)
= Exp(a + b × X1,200 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,746 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6967 + -0.0006 × 1,746 + 2 × 0.0320)
= Exp(2.7230)
= $15.23

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,200)
= Exp(a + b × X1,200 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,746 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6967 + -0.0006 × 1,746 – 2 × 0.0320)
= Exp(2.5950)
= $13.40

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 19.50% per annum.
  • VRE price at the close of November 6, 2025 was $14.74 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $0.20 (1.34%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: December 18, 2024
End date: November 6, 2025

a = 3.2507

b = -0.0003

s = 0.0358

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0003) – 1
= -10.91%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0358) – 1
= 15.40%

December 18, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,033)
= Exp(a + b × X1,033 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,500 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.2507 + -0.0003 × 1,500 + 2 × 0.0358)
= Exp(2.8477)
= $17.25

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,033)
= Exp(a + b × X1,033 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,500 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.2507 + -0.0003 × 1,500 – 2 × 0.0358)
= Exp(2.7045)
= $14.95

November 6, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.2507 + -0.0003 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0358)
= Exp(2.7455)
= $15.57

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.2507 + -0.0003 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0358)
= Exp(2.6023)
= $13.49

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 10.91% per annum.
  • VRE price at the close of November 6, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.