Veris Residential Inc (VRE)
None
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 18.33% per annum.
- VRE price at the close of July 11, 2025 was $14.67 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 28.79% per annum.
- VRE price at the close of July 11, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of VRE price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: August 28, 2024
End date: July 11, 2025
a = 3.7083
b = -0.0006
s = 0.0326
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0006) – 1
= -18.33%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0326) – 1
= 13.94%
August 28, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,038)
= Exp(a + b × X1,038 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,506 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7083 + -0.0006 × 1,506 + 2 × 0.0326)
= Exp(2.9384)
= $18.88
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,038)
= Exp(a + b × X1,038 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,506 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7083 + -0.0006 × 1,506 – 2 × 0.0326)
= Exp(2.8078)
= $16.57
July 11, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7083 + -0.0006 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0326)
= Exp(2.7625)
= $15.84
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.7083 + -0.0006 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0326)
= Exp(2.6320)
= $13.90
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 18.33% per annum.
- VRE price at the close of July 11, 2025 was $14.67 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: February 27, 2025
End date: July 11, 2025
a = 4.3737
b = -0.0009
s = 0.0238
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0009) – 1
= -28.79%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0238) – 1
= 9.97%
February 27, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,162)
= Exp(a + b × X1,162 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,689 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3737 + -0.0009 × 1,689 + 2 × 0.0238)
= Exp(2.8499)
= $17.29
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,162)
= Exp(a + b × X1,162 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,689 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3737 + -0.0009 × 1,689 – 2 × 0.0238)
= Exp(2.7548)
= $15.72
July 11, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3737 + -0.0009 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0238)
= Exp(2.7252)
= $15.26
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.3737 + -0.0009 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0238)
= Exp(2.6301)
= $13.88
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 28.79% per annum.
- VRE price at the close of July 11, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.