Stock Price Trends

Veris Residential Inc (VRE)

None

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 19.50% per annum.
  • VRE price at the close of November 13, 2025 was $14.92 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $0.44 (3.01%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 3.75% per annum.
  • VRE price at the close of November 13, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
  • The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of VRE price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: August 27, 2024
End date: August 21, 2025

a = 3.6926

b = -0.0006

s = 0.0320

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0006) – 1
= -19.50%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0320) – 1
= 13.66%

August 27, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y949)
= Exp(a + b × X949 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,380 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6926 + -0.0006 × 1,380 + 2 × 0.0320)
= Exp(2.9364)
= $18.85

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y949)
= Exp(a + b × X949 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,380 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6926 + -0.0006 × 1,380 – 2 × 0.0320)
= Exp(2.8084)
= $16.58

August 21, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,195)
= Exp(a + b × X1,195 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,739 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6926 + -0.0006 × 1,739 + 2 × 0.0320)
= Exp(2.7230)
= $15.23

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,195)
= Exp(a + b × X1,195 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,739 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6926 + -0.0006 × 1,739 – 2 × 0.0320)
= Exp(2.5950)
= $13.40

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 19.50% per annum.
  • VRE price at the close of November 13, 2025 was $14.92 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $0.44 (3.01%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: May 21, 2025
End date: November 13, 2025

a = 2.5184

b = 0.0001

s = 0.0336

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0001) – 1
= 3.75%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0336) – 1
= 14.38%

May 21, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,132)
= Exp(a + b × X1,132 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,647 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5184 + 0.0001 × 1,647 + 2 × 0.0336)
= Exp(2.7518)
= $15.67

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,132)
= Exp(a + b × X1,132 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,647 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5184 + 0.0001 × 1,647 – 2 × 0.0336)
= Exp(2.6174)
= $13.70

November 13, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5184 + 0.0001 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0336)
= Exp(2.7695)
= $15.95

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.5184 + 0.0001 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0336)
= Exp(2.6352)
= $13.95

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 3.75% per annum.
  • VRE price at the close of November 13, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.