Stock Price Trends

Veris Residential Inc (VRE)

None

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 19.24% per annum.
  • VRE price at the close of January 2, 2026 was $14.84 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $0.81 (5.78%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 8.84% per annum.
  • VRE price at the close of January 2, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of VRE price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: August 23, 2024
End date: August 21, 2025

a = 3.6435

b = -0.0006

s = 0.0324

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0006) – 1
= -19.24%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0324) – 1
= 13.86%

August 23, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y914)
= Exp(a + b × X914 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,326 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6435 + -0.0006 × 1,326 + 2 × 0.0324)
= Exp(2.9321)
= $18.77

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y914)
= Exp(a + b × X914 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,326 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6435 + -0.0006 × 1,326 – 2 × 0.0324)
= Exp(2.8023)
= $16.48

August 21, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,162)
= Exp(a + b × X1,162 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,689 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6435 + -0.0006 × 1,689 + 2 × 0.0324)
= Exp(2.7196)
= $15.17

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,162)
= Exp(a + b × X1,162 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,689 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.6435 + -0.0006 × 1,689 – 2 × 0.0324)
= Exp(2.5898)
= $13.33

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 19.24% per annum.
  • VRE price at the close of January 2, 2026 was $14.84 and was higher than the top border of the primary price channel by $0.81 (5.78%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.

Secondary Trend

Start date: December 18, 2024
End date: January 2, 2026

a = 3.1290

b = -0.0003

s = 0.0348

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0003) – 1
= -8.84%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0348) – 1
= 14.94%

December 18, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y995)
= Exp(a + b × X995 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,443 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1290 + -0.0003 × 1,443 + 2 × 0.0348)
= Exp(2.8329)
= $16.99

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y995)
= Exp(a + b × X995 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,443 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1290 + -0.0003 × 1,443 – 2 × 0.0348)
= Exp(2.6937)
= $14.79

January 2, 2026 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1290 + -0.0003 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0348)
= Exp(2.7366)
= $15.43

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.1290 + -0.0003 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0348)
= Exp(2.5974)
= $13.43

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 8.84% per annum.
  • VRE price at the close of January 2, 2026 was inside the secondary price channel.