Eerly Govt Ppty Inc (DEA)
Easterly Government Properties, Inc. (NYSE: DEA) is headquartered in Washington, DC and focuses primarily on the acquisition, development, and management of Class A commercial properties that are leased to the US government.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 38.35% per annum.
- DEA price at the close of March 31, 2025 was $10.60 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 20.56% per annum.
- DEA price at the close of March 31, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of DEA price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: September 10, 2024
End date: March 31, 2025
a = 4.7405
b = -0.0013
s = 0.0349
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0013) – 1
= -38.35%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0349) – 1
= 14.97%
September 10, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,117)
= Exp(a + b × X1,117 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,623 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7405 + -0.0013 × 1,623 + 2 × 0.0349)
= Exp(2.6591)
= $14.28
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,117)
= Exp(a + b × X1,117 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,623 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7405 + -0.0013 × 1,623 – 2 × 0.0349)
= Exp(2.5196)
= $12.42
March 31, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7405 + -0.0013 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0349)
= Exp(2.3914)
= $10.93
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7405 + -0.0013 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0349)
= Exp(2.2519)
= $9.51
Description
- The primary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the primary trend is 38.35% per annum.
- DEA price at the close of March 31, 2025 was $10.60 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: December 6, 2024
End date: March 31, 2025
a = 3.5032
b = -0.0006
s = 0.0243
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0006) – 1
= -20.56%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0243) – 1
= 10.19%
December 6, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,179)
= Exp(a + b × X1,179 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,710 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5032 + -0.0006 × 1,710 + 2 × 0.0243)
= Exp(2.4732)
= $11.86
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,179)
= Exp(a + b × X1,179 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,710 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5032 + -0.0006 × 1,710 – 2 × 0.0243)
= Exp(2.3761)
= $10.76
March 31, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5032 + -0.0006 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0243)
= Exp(2.4006)
= $11.03
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5032 + -0.0006 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0243)
= Exp(2.3036)
= $10.01
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 20.56% per annum.
- DEA price at the close of March 31, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.