Stock Price Trends

Plexus Corp (PLXS)

Plexus Corp. The company is headquartered in Neenah, Wisconsin.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 99.36% per annum.
  • PLXS price at the close of November 19, 2024 was $157.83 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 270.73% per annum.
  • PLXS price at the close of November 19, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of PLXS price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: February 20, 2024
End date: November 19, 2024

a = 1.5441

b = 0.0019

s = 0.0486

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0019) – 1
= 99.36%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0486) – 1
= 21.44%

February 20, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,067)
= Exp(a + b × X1,067 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,553 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.5441 + 0.0019 × 1,553 + 2 × 0.0486)
= Exp(4.5767)
= $97.20

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,067)
= Exp(a + b × X1,067 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,553 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.5441 + 0.0019 × 1,553 – 2 × 0.0486)
= Exp(4.3825)
= $80.04

November 19, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(1.5441 + 0.0019 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0486)
= Exp(5.0928)
= $162.84

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(1.5441 + 0.0019 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0486)
= Exp(4.8986)
= $134.10

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 99.36% per annum.
  • PLXS price at the close of November 19, 2024 was $157.83 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: September 3, 2024
End date: November 19, 2024

a = -1.4862

b = 0.0036

s = 0.0315

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0036) – 1
= 270.73%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0315) – 1
= 13.42%

September 3, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,202)
= Exp(a + b × X1,202 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,749 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.4862 + 0.0036 × 1,749 + 2 × 0.0315)
= Exp(4.8554)
= $128.43

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,202)
= Exp(a + b × X1,202 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,749 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.4862 + 0.0036 × 1,749 – 2 × 0.0315)
= Exp(4.7295)
= $113.23

November 19, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.4862 + 0.0036 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0315)
= Exp(5.1318)
= $169.32

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.4862 + 0.0036 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0315)
= Exp(5.0059)
= $149.29

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 270.73% per annum.
  • PLXS price at the close of November 19, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.