Stock Price Trends

Sanmina Corporation (SANM)

Sanmina Corporation offers integrated solutions for manufacturing, components, products and repair, logistics and after-sales services globally. The company is headquartered in San Jose, California.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 253.80% per annum.
  • SANM price at the close of July 11, 2025 was $104.17 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 1,116.12% per annum.
  • SANM price at the close of July 11, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of SANM price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: April 3, 2025
End date: July 11, 2025

a = -1.7049

b = 0.0035

s = 0.0297

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0035) – 1
= 253.80%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0297) – 1
= 12.63%

April 3, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,188)
= Exp(a + b × X1,188 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,725 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.7049 + 0.0035 × 1,725 + 2 × 0.0297)
= Exp(4.3262)
= $75.65

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,188)
= Exp(a + b × X1,188 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,725 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.7049 + 0.0035 × 1,725 – 2 × 0.0297)
= Exp(4.2072)
= $67.17

July 11, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.7049 + 0.0035 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0297)
= Exp(4.6689)
= $106.58

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-1.7049 + 0.0035 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0297)
= Exp(4.5500)
= $94.63

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 253.80% per annum.
  • SANM price at the close of July 11, 2025 was $104.17 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: June 12, 2025
End date: July 11, 2025

a = -7.8260

b = 0.0068

s = 0.0137

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0068) – 1
= 1,116.12%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0137) – 1
= 5.62%

June 12, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,236)
= Exp(a + b × X1,236 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,795 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-7.8260 + 0.0068 × 1,795 + 2 × 0.0137)
= Exp(4.4873)
= $88.88

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,236)
= Exp(a + b × X1,236 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,795 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-7.8260 + 0.0068 × 1,795 – 2 × 0.0137)
= Exp(4.4326)
= $84.15

July 11, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-7.8260 + 0.0068 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0137)
= Exp(4.6858)
= $108.39

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-7.8260 + 0.0068 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0137)
= Exp(4.6310)
= $102.62

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 1,116.12% per annum.
  • SANM price at the close of July 11, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.