Leidos Holdings Inc (LDOS)
Leidos, formerly known as Science Applications International Corporation (SAIC), is an American defense, aviation, information technology (Lockheed Martin IS&GS), and biomedical research company headquartered in Reston, Virginia, that provides scientific, engineering, systems integration, and technical services.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 60.82% per annum.
- LDOS price at the close of April 2, 2025 was $142.94 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $35.67 (19.97%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 47.97% per annum.
- LDOS price at the close of April 2, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
- The direction of the secondary trend is opposite to the direction of the primary trend. This indicates a possible reversal in the direction of the primary trend.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of LDOS price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: March 8, 2023
End date: December 9, 2024
a = 2.9394
b = 0.0013
s = 0.0648
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0013) – 1
= 60.82%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0648) – 1
= 29.61%
March 8, 2023 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y736)
= Exp(a + b × X736 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,069 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9394 + 0.0013 × 1,069 + 2 × 0.0648)
= Exp(4.4606)
= $86.54
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y736)
= Exp(a + b × X736 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,069 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9394 + 0.0013 × 1,069 – 2 × 0.0648)
= Exp(4.2012)
= $66.76
December 9, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,178)
= Exp(a + b × X1,178 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,711 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9394 + 0.0013 × 1,711 + 2 × 0.0648)
= Exp(5.2962)
= $199.58
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,178)
= Exp(a + b × X1,178 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,711 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.9394 + 0.0013 × 1,711 – 2 × 0.0648)
= Exp(5.0368)
= $153.98
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 60.82% per annum.
- LDOS price at the close of April 2, 2025 was $142.94 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $35.67 (19.97%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: October 1, 2024
End date: April 1, 2025
a = 8.1228
b = -0.0018
s = 0.0586
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0018) – 1
= -47.97%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0586) – 1
= 26.39%
October 1, 2024 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,130)
= Exp(a + b × X1,130 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,642 + 2 × s)
= Exp(8.1228 + -0.0018 × 1,642 + 2 × 0.0586)
= Exp(5.3006)
= $200.45
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,130)
= Exp(a + b × X1,130 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,642 – 2 × s)
= Exp(8.1228 + -0.0018 × 1,642 – 2 × 0.0586)
= Exp(5.0663)
= $158.59
April 1, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 + 2 × s)
= Exp(8.1228 + -0.0018 × 1,824 + 2 × 0.0586)
= Exp(4.9747)
= $144.71
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,824 – 2 × s)
= Exp(8.1228 + -0.0018 × 1,824 – 2 × 0.0586)
= Exp(4.7405)
= $114.50
Description
- The secondary trend is decreasing.
- The decline rate of the secondary trend is 47.97% per annum.
- LDOS price at the close of April 2, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.