Amentum Holdings Inc. (AMTM)
Amentum Holdings, Inc. provides engineering and technology solutions to address challenges in science, security, and sustainability.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 6,372.48% per annum.
- AMTM price at the close of April 25, 2025 was $21.92 and was inside the primary price channel.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 4,544.21% per annum.
- AMTM price at the close of April 25, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of AMTM price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: April 7, 2025
End date: April 25, 2025
a = 0.5989
b = 0.0114
s = 0.0395
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0114) – 1
= 6,372.48%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0395) – 1
= 17.12%
April 7, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y133)
= Exp(a + b × X133 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 195 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.5989 + 0.0114 × 195 + 2 × 0.0395)
= Exp(2.9058)
= $18.28
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y133)
= Exp(a + b × X133 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 195 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.5989 + 0.0114 × 195 – 2 × 0.0395)
= Exp(2.7478)
= $15.61
April 25, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y146)
= Exp(a + b × X146 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 213 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.5989 + 0.0114 × 213 + 2 × 0.0395)
= Exp(3.1115)
= $22.45
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y146)
= Exp(a + b × X146 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 213 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.5989 + 0.0114 × 213 – 2 × 0.0395)
= Exp(2.9535)
= $19.17
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 6,372.48% per annum.
- AMTM price at the close of April 25, 2025 was $21.92 and was inside the primary price channel.
Secondary Trend
Start date: April 9, 2025
End date: April 25, 2025
a = 0.7885
b = 0.0105
s = 0.0410
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0105) – 1
= 4,544.21%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0410) – 1
= 17.81%
April 9, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y135)
= Exp(a + b × X135 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 197 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.7885 + 0.0105 × 197 + 2 × 0.0410)
= Exp(2.9420)
= $18.95
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y135)
= Exp(a + b × X135 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 197 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.7885 + 0.0105 × 197 – 2 × 0.0410)
= Exp(2.7781)
= $16.09
April 25, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y146)
= Exp(a + b × X146 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 213 + 2 × s)
= Exp(0.7885 + 0.0105 × 213 + 2 × 0.0410)
= Exp(3.1103)
= $22.43
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y146)
= Exp(a + b × X146 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 213 – 2 × s)
= Exp(0.7885 + 0.0105 × 213 – 2 × 0.0410)
= Exp(2.9464)
= $19.04
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 4,544.21% per annum.
- AMTM price at the close of April 25, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.