Stock Price Trends

Korn Ferry (KFY)

Korn Ferry, provides organizational consulting services worldwide. The company is headquartered in Los Angeles, California.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 51.27% per annum.
  • KFY price at the close of November 19, 2024 was $75.57 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 37.30% per annum.
  • KFY price at the close of November 19, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of KFY price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: August 31, 2023
End date: November 19, 2024

a = 2.2851

b = 0.0011

s = 0.0476

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0011) – 1
= 51.27%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0476) – 1
= 20.96%

August 31, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y950)
= Exp(a + b × X950 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,380 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.2851 + 0.0011 × 1,380 + 2 × 0.0476)
= Exp(3.9451)
= $51.68

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y950)
= Exp(a + b × X950 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,380 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.2851 + 0.0011 × 1,380 – 2 × 0.0476)
= Exp(3.7548)
= $42.72

November 19, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.2851 + 0.0011 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0476)
= Exp(4.4508)
= $85.70

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.2851 + 0.0011 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0476)
= Exp(4.2605)
= $70.84

Description

  • The primary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the primary trend is 51.27% per annum.
  • KFY price at the close of November 19, 2024 was $75.57 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: December 11, 2023
End date: November 19, 2024

a = 2.7365

b = 0.0009

s = 0.0323

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0009) – 1
= 37.30%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0323) – 1
= 13.78%

December 11, 2023 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,020)
= Exp(a + b × X1,020 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,482 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.7365 + 0.0009 × 1,482 + 2 × 0.0323)
= Exp(4.0883)
= $59.64

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,020)
= Exp(a + b × X1,020 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,482 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.7365 + 0.0009 × 1,482 – 2 × 0.0323)
= Exp(3.9592)
= $52.42

November 19, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 + 2 × s)
= Exp(2.7365 + 0.0009 × 1,826 + 2 × 0.0323)
= Exp(4.3871)
= $80.40

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,257)
= Exp(a + b × X1,257 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,826 – 2 × s)
= Exp(2.7365 + 0.0009 × 1,826 – 2 × 0.0323)
= Exp(4.2580)
= $70.67

Description

  • The secondary trend is increasing.
  • The growth rate of the secondary trend is 37.30% per annum.
  • KFY price at the close of November 19, 2024 was inside the secondary price channel.