Stock Price Trends

Robert Half International Inc (RHI)

Robert Half International, or commonly referred as, Robert Half, is a global human resource consulting firm based in Menlo Park, California.

Stock Price Trends

Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.

Key facts

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 11.77% per annum.
  • RHI price at the close of March 31, 2025 was $54.55 and was inside the primary price channel.
  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 67.52% per annum.
  • RHI price at the close of March 31, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.

Linear Regression Model

Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi

Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)

Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)

where:

i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of RHI price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e


Primary Trend

Start date: July 23, 2021
End date: March 31, 2025

a = 4.7245

b = -0.0003

s = 0.1089

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0003) – 1
= -11.77%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.1089) – 1
= 54.59%

July 23, 2021 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y330)
= Exp(a + b × X330 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 478 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7245 + -0.0003 × 478 + 2 × 0.1089)
= Exp(4.7782)
= $118.89

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y330)
= Exp(a + b × X330 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 478 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7245 + -0.0003 × 478 – 2 × 0.1089)
= Exp(4.3426)
= $76.91

March 31, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7245 + -0.0003 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.1089)
= Exp(4.3159)
= $74.88

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(4.7245 + -0.0003 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.1089)
= Exp(3.8803)
= $48.44

Description

  • The primary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the primary trend is 11.77% per annum.
  • RHI price at the close of March 31, 2025 was $54.55 and was inside the primary price channel.

Secondary Trend

Start date: November 25, 2024
End date: March 31, 2025

a = 9.5848

b = -0.0031

s = 0.0357

Annual growth rate:

Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × -0.0031) – 1
= -67.52%

Price channel spread:

Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0357) – 1
= 15.36%

November 25, 2024 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,171)
= Exp(a + b × X1,171 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,699 + 2 × s)
= Exp(9.5848 + -0.0031 × 1,699 + 2 × 0.0357)
= Exp(4.4217)
= $83.23

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,171)
= Exp(a + b × X1,171 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,699 – 2 × s)
= Exp(9.5848 + -0.0031 × 1,699 – 2 × 0.0357)
= Exp(4.2788)
= $72.15

March 31, 2025 calculations

Top border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 + 2 × s)
= Exp(9.5848 + -0.0031 × 1,825 + 2 × 0.0357)
= Exp(4.0335)
= $56.46

Bottom border of price channel:

Exp(Y1,255)
= Exp(a + b × X1,255 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,825 – 2 × s)
= Exp(9.5848 + -0.0031 × 1,825 – 2 × 0.0357)
= Exp(3.8906)
= $48.94

Description

  • The secondary trend is decreasing.
  • The decline rate of the secondary trend is 67.52% per annum.
  • RHI price at the close of March 31, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.