Estee Lauder Companies Inc (EL)
The Estee Lauder Companies Inc. is a leading American multinational enterprise renowned for its prestige skincare, makeup, fragrance, and hair care products. Headquartered in Midtown Manhattan, New York City, Estee Lauder boasts a diverse portfolio of iconic brands that are widely recognized and trusted by consumers worldwide. The company leverages a robust global distribution strategy, utilizing both digital commerce and brick-and-mortar retail channels to drive growth and enhance customer engagement. Estee Lauder's commitment to innovation and sustainability positions it favorably within the evolving beauty landscape, making it an attractive opportunity for institutional investors seeking exposure in the luxury consumer goods sector.
Stock Price Trends
Stock price trends estimated using linear regression.
Key facts
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 165.77% per annum.
- EL price at the close of November 13, 2025 was $89.92 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $0.80 (0.88%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 21.50% per annum.
- EL price at the close of November 13, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.
Linear Regression Model
Model equation:
Yi = α + β × Xi + εi
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi + 2 × s)
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Yi) = Exp(a + b × Xi – 2 × s)
where:
i - observation number
Yi - natural logarithm of EL price
Xi - time index, 1 day interval
σ - standard deviation of εi
a - estimator of α
b - estimator of β
s - estimator of σ
Exp() - calculates the exponent of e
Primary Trend
Start date: March 25, 2025
End date: November 4, 2025
a = -0.2053
b = 0.0027
s = 0.0844
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0027) – 1
= 165.77%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0844) – 1
= 40.17%
March 25, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,092)
= Exp(a + b × X1,092 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,590 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.2053 + 0.0027 × 1,590 + 2 × 0.0844)
= Exp(4.2215)
= $68.14
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,092)
= Exp(a + b × X1,092 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,590 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.2053 + 0.0027 × 1,590 – 2 × 0.0844)
= Exp(3.8838)
= $48.61
November 4, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,247)
= Exp(a + b × X1,247 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,814 + 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.2053 + 0.0027 × 1,814 + 2 × 0.0844)
= Exp(4.8214)
= $124.14
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,247)
= Exp(a + b × X1,247 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,814 – 2 × s)
= Exp(-0.2053 + 0.0027 × 1,814 – 2 × 0.0844)
= Exp(4.4837)
= $88.56
Description
- The primary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the primary trend is 165.77% per annum.
- EL price at the close of November 13, 2025 was $89.92 and was lower than the bottom border of the primary price channel by $0.80 (0.88%). This indicates a possible reversal in the primary trend direction.
Secondary Trend
Start date: July 1, 2025
End date: November 13, 2025
a = 3.5680
b = 0.0005
s = 0.0401
Annual growth rate:
Exp(365 × b) – 1
= Exp(365 × 0.0005) – 1
= 21.50%
Price channel spread:
Exp(4 × s) – 1
= Exp(4 × 0.0401) – 1
= 17.40%
July 1, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,159)
= Exp(a + b × X1,159 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,688 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5680 + 0.0005 × 1,688 + 2 × 0.0401)
= Exp(4.5488)
= $94.52
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,159)
= Exp(a + b × X1,159 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,688 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5680 + 0.0005 × 1,688 – 2 × 0.0401)
= Exp(4.3884)
= $80.51
November 13, 2025 calculations
Top border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 + 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 + 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5680 + 0.0005 × 1,823 + 2 × 0.0401)
= Exp(4.6208)
= $101.58
Bottom border of price channel:
Exp(Y1,254)
= Exp(a + b × X1,254 – 2 × s)
= Exp(a + b × 1,823 – 2 × s)
= Exp(3.5680 + 0.0005 × 1,823 – 2 × 0.0401)
= Exp(4.4604)
= $86.52
Description
- The secondary trend is increasing.
- The growth rate of the secondary trend is 21.50% per annum.
- EL price at the close of November 13, 2025 was inside the secondary price channel.